Harmful tipping points in the natural world pose some of the gravest threats faced by humanity. Their triggering will severely damage our planet’s life-support systems and threaten the stability of our societies.
In the Summary Report:
• Narrative summary
• Global tipping points infographic
• Key messages
• Key Recommendations
Executive summary
• Section 1
• Section 2
• Section 3
• Section 4
This report is for all those concerned with tackling escalating Earth system change and mobilising transformative social change to alter that trajectory, achieve sustainability and promote social justice.
In this section:
• Foreword
• Introduction
• Key Concepts
• Approach
• References
Considers Earth system tipping points. These are reviewed and assessed across the three major domains of the cryosphere, biosphere and circulation of the oceans and atmosphere. We then consider the interactions and potential cascades of Earth system tipping points, followed by an assessment of early warning signals for Earth system tipping points.
Considers tipping point impacts. First we look at the human impacts of Earth system tipping points, then the potential couplings to negative tipping points in human systems. Next we assess the potential for cascading and compounding systemic risk, before considering the potential for early warning of impact tipping points.
Considers how to govern Earth system tipping points and their associated risks. We look at governance of mitigation, prevention and stabilisation then we focus on governance of impacts, including adaptation, vulnerability and loss and damage. Finally, we assess the need for knowledge generation at the science-policy interface.
Focuses on positive tipping points in technology, the economy and society. It provides a framework for understanding and acting on positive tipping points. We highlight illustrative case studies across energy, food and transport and mobility systems, with a focus on demand-side solutions (which have previously received limited attention).
Earth system justice is conceptualised through multiple approaches to justice including, but not limited to, intragenerational, intergenerational and interspecies justice (Gupta et al., 2023). Intragenerational justice refers to relationships between humans rights now and includes justice between states (international), among people of different states (global), and between community members or citizens (communitarian). Intergenerational justice examines relationships across generations, such as the legacy of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions for youth and future people and assumes that natural resources and environmental quality should be shared across generations (Tremmel, 2009). Interspecies justice refers more generally to the rights of nature and other species to co-existence on the planet (Harden-Davies et al., 2020) and also counters the idea of human exceptionalism as a lens for thinking through development impacts (Srinivasan and Kasturirangan, 2016). These frameworks can help design just responses to the shifts experienced as we near tipping points, or even help us avoid them all together.
In the context of addressing biophysical tipping points by attempting to enable positive social tipping, a justice lens is critical to ensure that past injustices are not perpetuated in the name of staying within planetary boundaries (Rockström et al. 2023). Attempts to address procedural justice (how processes are designed, who is involved), reparative justice (including recognition of wrongs, restoration where possible and compensation for negative impacts), and distributive justice (or equity) are complicated but important. An Earth system justice approach can promote the fair sharing and management of remaining ecological spaces (Gupta et al., 2021).