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References

Chapter 4.1

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Chapter 4.2

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Suri, T., & Jack, W. (2016). The long-run poverty and gender impacts of mobile money. Science, 354(6317), 1288–1292. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aah5309

Törnberg, A. (2018). Combining transition studies and social movement theory: towards a new research agenda. Theory and Society, 47(3), 381–408. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11186-018-9318-6

Trebeck, K., & Williams, J. (2019). The economics of arrival: ideas for a grown-up economy. Policy Press.

Weber, E. U., Constantino, S. M., & Schlüter, M. (2023). Embedding Cognition: Judgment and Choice in an Interdependent and Dynamic World. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 32(4), 328–336. https://doi.org/10.1177/09637214231159282

Winkelmann, R., Donges, J. F., Smith, E. K., Milkoreit, M., Eder, C., Heitzig, J., Katsanidou, A., Wiedermann, M., Wunderling, N., & Lenton, T. M. (2022). Social tipping processes towards climate action: A conceptual framework. Ecological Economics, 192, 107242. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2021.107242

Xie, J., Sreenivasan, S., Korniss, G., Zhang, W., Lim, C., & Szymanski, B. K. (2011). Social consensus through the influence of committed minorities. Physical Review E, 84(1), 011130. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.84.011130

Yoeli, E., Hoffman, M., Rand, D. G., & Nowak, M. A. (2013). Powering up with indirect reciprocity in a large-scale field experiment. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110(supplement_2), 10424–10429. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1301210110

Zografos, C., & Robbins, P. (2020). Green Sacrifice Zones, or Why a Green New Deal Cannot Ignore the Cost Shifts of Just Transitions. One Earth, 3(5), 543–546. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2020.10.012

Chapter 4.3

Geels, F. W., Schwanen, T., Sorrell, S., Jenkins, K., & Sovacool, B. K. (2018). Reducing energy demand through low carbon innovation: A sociotechnical transitions perspective and thirteen research debates. Energy Research & Social Science, 40, 23–35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2017.11.003

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Newell, P., Twena, M., & Daley, F. (2021). Scaling behaviour change for a 1.5 degree world: Challenges and opportunities. Global Sustainability, 1–25. https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2021.23

Trebeck, K., & Williams, J. (2019). The economics of arrival: ideas for a grown-up economy. Policy Press.

Winkler, L., Pearce, D., Nelson, J., & Babacan, O. (2023). The effect of sustainable mobility transition policies on cumulative urban transport emissions and energy demand. Nature Communications, 14(1), 2357. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-37728-x

4.3.1: Energy Systems

Allcott, H. (2011). Social norms and energy conservation. Journal of Public Economics, 95(9–10), 1082–1095. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2011.03.003

Bergquist, M., Thiel, M., Goldberg, M. H., & Van Der Linden, S. (2023). Field interventions for climate change mitigation behaviors: A second-order meta-analysis. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 120(13), e2214851120. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2214851120

Berner, A., Bruns, S., Moneta, A., & Stern, D. I. (2022). Do energy efficiency improvements reduce energy use? Empirical evidence on the economy-wide rebound effect in Europe and the United States. Energy Economics, 110, 105939. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2022.105939

Bonan, J., Cattaneo, C., d’Adda, G., & Tavoni, M. (2020). The interaction of descriptive and injunctive social norms in promoting energy conservation. Nature Energy, 5(11), 900–909. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-020-00719-z

Brockway, P. E., Sorrell, S., Semieniuk, G., Heun, M. K., & Court, V. (2021). Energy efficiency and economy-wide rebound effects: A review of the evidence and its implications. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 141, 110781. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2021.110781

Büchs, M., Cass, N., Mullen, C., Lucas, K., & Ivanova, D. (2023). Emissions savings from equitable energy demand reduction. Nature Energy, 8(7), 758–769. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-023-01283-y

Clark, A., Songli, Z., Ives, M. and Grubb, M. (2021). The New Economics of Innovation and Transition: Evaluating Opportunities and Risks. EEIST, University of Exeter. https://eeist.co.uk/eeist-reports/the-new-economics-of-innovation-and-transition-evaluating-opportunities-and-risks/#

Cohen, J., Azarova, V., Kollmann, A., & Reichl, J. (2019). Q-complementarity in household adoption of photovoltaics and electricity-intensive goods: The case of electric vehicles. Energy Economics, 83, 567–577. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2019.08.004

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Du, S., Cao, G., & Huang, Y. (2022). The effect of income satisfaction on the relationship between income class and pro-environment behavior. Applied Economics Letters, 1–4. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2022.2125491

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Fanning, A. L., & O’Neill, D. W. (2019). The Wellbeing–Consumption paradox: Happiness, health, income, and carbon emissions in growing versus non-growing economies. Journal of Cleaner Production, 212, 810–821. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.11.223

Freier, J., & Von Loessl, V. (2022). Dynamic electricity tariffs: Designing reasonable pricing schemes for private households. Energy Economics, 112, 106146. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2022.106146

Geels, F. W. (2023). Demand-side emission reduction through behavior change or technology adoption? Empirical evidence from UK heating, mobility, and electricity use. One Earth, 6(4), 337–340. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.03.012

Giotitsas, C., Nardelli, P. H. J., Williamson, S., Roos, A., Pournaras, E., & Kostakis, V. (2022). Energy governance as a commons: Engineering alternative socio-technical configurations. Energy Research & Social Science, 84, 102354. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2021.102354

Göckeritz, S., Schultz, P. W., Rendón, T., Cialdini, R. B., Goldstein, N. J., & Griskevicius, V. (2009). Descriptive normative beliefs and conservation behavior: The moderating roles of personal involvement and injunctive normative beliefs. European Journal of Social Psychology, n/a-n/a. https://doi.org/10.1002/ejsp.643

Graziano, M., & Gillingham, K. (2015). Spatial patterns of solar photovoltaic system adoption: The influence of neighbors and the built environment. Journal of Economic Geography, 15(4), 815–839. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbu036

Groenewoudt, A. C., Romijn, H. A., & Alkemade, F. (2020). From fake solar to full service: An empirical analysis of the solar home systems market in Uganda. Energy for Sustainable Development, 58, 100–111. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esd.2020.07.004

Haegel, N. M., Atwater, H., Barnes, T., Breyer, C., Burrell, A., Chiang, Y.-M., De Wolf, S., Dimmler, B., Feldman, D., Glunz, S., Goldschmidt, J. C., Hochschild, D., Inzunza, R., Kaizuka, I., Kroposki, B., Kurtz, S., Leu, S., Margolis, R., Matsubara, K., … Bett, A. W. (2019). Terawatt-scale photovoltaics: Transform global energy. Science, 364(6443), 836–838. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw1845

Horne, C., & Kennedy, E. H. (2017). The power of social norms for reducing and shifting electricity use. Energy Policy, 107, 43–52. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.04.029

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IEA (2023b), Europe’s energy crisis: What factors drove the record fall in natural gas demand in 2022?, IEA, Paris https://www.iea.org/commentaries/europe-s-energy-crisis-what-factors-drove-the-record-fall-in-natural-gas-demand-in-2022

IEA (2022a), Renewables 2022, IEA, Paris https://www.iea.org/reports/renewables-2022

IEA (2022b), Heating, IEA, Paris https://www.iea.org/reports/heating

IEA (2022c), The Future of Heat Pumps, IEA, Paris https://www.iea.org/reports/the-future-of-heat-pumps

IEA (2022d), World Energy Outlook 2022, IEA, Parishttps://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2022

IEA (2022e), Africa Energy Outlook 2022, IEA, Paris https://www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-2022

IEA (2021a). Electricity total final consumption by sector, 1971-2019, IEA, Paris https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/electricity-total-final-consumption-by-sector-1971-2019

IEA (2021b). Year-on-year change in fossil fuel production in OECD countries, 2019-2020, IEA, Paris https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/year-on-year-change-in-fossil-fuel-production-in-oecd-countries-2019-2020

Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change (IPCC), & M. Pathak, R. Slade, P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, R. Pichs-Madruga, D. Ürge-Vorsatz,2022 (Eds.). (2023). Technical Summary. In Climate Change 2022 – Mitigation of Climate Change (1st ed., pp. 51–148). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157926.002

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IRENA. (2022a). Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2021. https//www.irena.org/publications/2022/Jul/Renewable-Power-Generation-Costs-in-2021

IRENA. (2022b). Renewable Technology Innovation Indicators: Mapping progress in costs, patents and standards, International Renewable Energy Agency. https://www.irena.org/publications/2022/Mar/Renewable-Technology-Innovation-Indicators

RIENA. (2023). Renewable capacity highlights,. https://www.irena.org/publications/2022/Jul/Renewable-Power-Generation-Costs-in-2021

Ivanova, D., Barrett, J., Wiedenhofer, D., Macura, B., Callaghan, M., & Creutzig, F. (2020). Quantifying the potential for climate change mitigation of consumption options. Environmental Research Letters, 15(9), 093001. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab8589

Karimirad, M., Rosa-Clot, M., Armstrong, A., & Whittaker, T. (2021). Floating solar: Beyond the state of the art technology. Solar Energy, 219, 1–2. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2021.02.034

Kavlak, G., McNerney, J., & Trancik, J. E. (2018). Evaluating the causes of cost reduction in photovoltaic modules. Energy Policy, 123, 700–710. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2018.08.015

Kern, F., Smith, A., Shaw, C., Raven, R., & Verhees, B. (2014). From laggard to leader: Explaining offshore wind developments in the UK. Energy Policy, 69, 635–646. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2014.02.031

Koide, R., Lettenmeier, M., Akenji, L., Toivio, V., Amellina, A., Khodke, A., Watabe, A., & Kojima, S. (2021). Lifestyle carbon footprints and changes in lifestyles to limit global warming to 1.5 °C, and ways forward for related research. Sustainability Science, 16(6), 2087–2099. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-01018-6

Klok, C. W., Kirkels, A. F., and Alkemade, F. (2023). Impacts, procedural processes, and local context: Rethinking the social acceptance of wind energy projects in the Netherlands. Energy Research and Social Science, 99, 103044. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2023.10304

Meckling, J. (2019). Governing renewables: Policy feedback in a global energy transition. Environment and Planning C: Politics and Space, 37(2), 317–338. https://doi.org/10.1177/2399654418777765

Nemet, G., & Greene, J. (2022).Innovation in low-energy demand and its implications for policy. Oxford Open Energy, 1, oiac003. https://doi.org/10.1093/ooenergy/oiac003

Newell, P., Twena, M., & Daley, F. (2021). Scaling behaviour change for a 1.5 degree world: Challenges and opportunities. Global Sustainability, 1–25. https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2021.23

Niamir, L., Kiesewetter, G., Wagner, F., Schöpp, W., Filatova, T., Voinov, A., & Bressers, H. (2020). Assessing the macroeconomic impacts of individual behavioral changes on carbon emissions. Climatic Change, 158(2), 141–160. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02566-8

Nicolson, M. L., Fell, M. J., & Huebner, G. M. (2018). Consumer demand for time of use electricity tariffs: A systematized review of the empirical evidence. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 97, 276–289. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2018.08.040

Nisa, C. F., Bélanger, J. J., Schumpe, B. M., & Faller, D. G. (2019). Meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials testing behavioural interventions to promote household action on climate change. Nature Communications, 10(1), 4545. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-12457-2

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Pauw, W. P., Moslener, U., Zamarioli, L. H., Amerasinghe, N., Atela, J., Affana, J. P. B., Buchner, B., Klein, R. J. T., Mbeva, K. L., Puri, J., Roberts, J. T., Shawoo, Z., Watson, C., & Weikmans, R. (2022). Post-2025 climate finance target: how much more and how much better? Climate Policy, 22(9–10), 1241–1251. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2022.2114985

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Sorrell, S., Gatersleben, B., & Druckman, A. (2020). The limits of energy sufficiency: A review of the evidence for rebound effects and negative spillovers from behavioural change. Energy Research & Social Science, 64, 101439. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2020.101439

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Van Der Kam, M. J., Meelen, A. A. H., Van Sark, W. G. J. H. M., & Alkemade, F. (2018). Diffusion of solar photovoltaic systems and electric vehicles among Dutch consumers: Implications for the energy transition. Energy Research & Social Science, 46, 68–85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2018.06.003

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4.3.2 Transport and mobility systems

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Ballot, E., & Fontane, F. (2010). Reducing transportation CO ₂ emissions through pooling of supply networks: perspectives from a case study in French retail chains. Production Planning & Control, 21(6), 640–650. https://doi.org/10.1080/09537287.2010.489276

Becker, S., Von Schneidemesser, D., Caseiro, A., Götting, K., Schmitz, S., & Von Schneidemesser, E. (2022). Pop-up cycling infrastructure as a niche innovation for sustainable transportation in European cities: An inter- and transdisciplinary case study of Berlin. Sustainable Cities and Society, 87, 104168. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2022.104168

Bhardwaj, C., Axsen, J., & McCollum, D. (2022). How to design a zero-emissions vehicle mandate? Simulating impacts on sales, GHG emissions and cost-effectiveness using the AUtomaker-Consumer Model (AUM). Transport Policy, 117, 152–168. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2021.12.012

Brand, C., Dons, E., Anaya-Boig, E., Avila-Palencia, I., Clark, A., De Nazelle, A., Gascon, M., Gaupp-Berghausen, M., Gerike, R., Götschi, T., Iacorossi, F., Kahlmeier, S., Laeremans, M., Nieuwenhuijsen, M. J., Pablo Orjuela, J., Racioppi, F., Raser, E., Rojas-Rueda, D., Standaert, A., … Int Panis, L. (2021). The climate change mitigation effects of daily active travel in cities. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 93, 102764. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2021.102764

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4.3.3. Food systems

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Chapter 4.4. Cross-cutting enablers of positive tipping points

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Wiedermann, M., Smith, E. K., Heitzig, J., & Donges, J. F. (2020). A network-based microfoundation of Granovetter’s threshold model for social tipping. Scientific Reports, 10(1), 11202. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-67102-6

Willis, R. (2018). Building the political mandate for climate action. Green Alliance. https://green-alliance.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Building_a_political_mandate_for_climate_action.pdf

Wilson, S., Carlson, A., & Szeman, I. (Eds.). (2017). Petrocultures: Oil, Politics, Culture. McGill-Queen’s University Press. https://www.jstor.org/stable/j.ctt1qft0q7

Woodly, D. R. (2015). The Politics of Common Sense: How Social Movements Use Public Discourse to Change Politics and Win Acceptance. Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780190203986.001.0001

Xie, J., Meng, F., Sun, J., Ma, X., Yan, G., & Hu, Y. (2021). Detecting and modelling real percolation and phase transitions of information on social media. Nature Human Behaviour, 5(9), 1161–1168. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-021-01090-z

Yadin, S. (2023). Fighting Climate Change through Shaming (1st ed.). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009256230

Yoeli, E., Hoffman, M., Rand, D.G. and Nowak, M.A. (2013). Powering up with indirect reciprocity in a large-scale field experiment. PNAS. 110, 10424-10429, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1301210110

Zhou, J. (2016). Boomerangs versus Javelins: How Polarization Constrains Communication on Climate Change. Environmental Politics, 25(5), 788–811. https://doi.org/10.1080/09644016.2016.1166602

4.4.2 Political systems

Aklin, M., & Mildenberger, M. (2020). Prisoners of the Wrong Dilemma: Why Distributive Conflict, Not Collective Action, Characterizes the Politics of Climate Change. Global Environmental Politics, 20(4), 4–27. https://doi.org/10.1162/glep_a_00578

Barrett, S. (2003). Environment and statecraft: The strategy of environmental treaty-making: The strategy of environmental treaty-making. OUP Oxford.

Barrett, S., & Dannenberg, A. (2014). Sensitivity of collective action to uncertainty about climate tipping points. Nature Climate Change, 4(1), 36–39. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2059

Besley, T., & Persson, T. (2023). The Political Economics of Green Transitions. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 138(3), 1863–1906. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjad006

Bozuwa, J. Mulvaneym D. (2023). A Progressive Take on Permitting Reform: Principles and Policies to Unleash a Faster, More Equitable Green Transition, Roosevelt Institution. https://rooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/RI_Progressive_Permitting_Report_202308.pdf

Casoria, F., Galeotti, F., & Villeval, M. C. (2021). Perceived social norm and behavior quickly adjusted to legal changes during the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 190, 54–65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2021.07.030

Chapin, Iii, F. S. (2021). Social and environmental change in the Arctic: emerging opportunities for well-being transformations through stewardship. Ecology and Society, 26(3), art15. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-12499-260315

Climate Action Tracker. (2023). https://climateactiontracker.org/

Constantino, S. M., Skaredina, O., & Ivanova, M. (2023). Catalytic leadership in climate change negotiations: a reply to ‘Why do climate change negotiations stall? Scientific evidence and solutions for some structural problems’ by Ulrich J. Frey and Jazmin Burgess. Global Discourse, 13(2), 183–190. https://doi.org/10.1332/204378921X16842177275040

Corbett, J., Xu, Y., & Weller, P. (2019). Norm entrepreneurship and diffusion ‘from below’ in international organisations: How the competent performance of vulnerability generates benefits for small states. Review of International Studies, 45(4), 647–668. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0260210519000068

Delivering Net Zero (DNZ). (2021). DNZ: Delivering Net Zero. Key Themes from the Academic Community. Delivering Net Zero; https://www.deliveringnetzero.org/_files/ugd/9a8b80_a07f39f27e314c5781f7b6a5a1f12b20.pdf

Eder, C., & Stadelmann-Steffen, I. (2023). Bringing the political system (back) into social tipping relevant to sustainability. Energy Policy, 177, 113529. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113529

Farmer, J. D., Hepburn, C., Ives, M. C., Hale, T., Wetzer, T., Mealy, P., Rafaty, R., Srivastav, S., & Way, R. (2019). Sensitive intervention points in the post-carbon transition. Science, 364(6436), 132–134. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw7287

Finnemore, M., & Sikkink, K. (1998). International Norm Dynamics and Political Change. International Organization, 52(4), 887–917. https://doi.org/10.1162/002081898550789

Green, F. (2018). Anti-fossil fuel norms. Climatic Change, 150(1–2), 103–116. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-017-2134-6

Grimalda, G., Belianin, A., Hennig-Schmidt, H., Requate, T., & Ryzhkova, M. V. (2022). Sanctions and international interaction improve cooperation to avert climate change. Proceedings of the Royal Society B, 289(1972), 20212174. https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/full/10.1098/rspb.2021.2174

Hake, J.-F., Fischer, W., Venghaus, S., & Weckenbrock, C. (2015). The German Energiewende – History and status quo. Energy, 92, 532–546. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2015.04.027

Hale, T. (2020). Catalytic Cooperation. Global Environmental Politics, 20(4), 73–98. https://doi.org/10.1162/glep_a_00561

Heal, G., & Kunreuther, H. (2011). Tipping climate negotiations. National Bureau of Economic Research. Tipping Climate Negotiations | NBER

International Corporate Governance Network (ICGN) ICGN Statement of Shared Climate Change Responsibilities to the United Nations Climate Change Conference of the Parties 27. 5. ICGN Statement of Shared Climate Change ResponsibilitiesCOP27, November 2022

Keohane, R. O., & Victor, D. G. (2010). The regime complex for climate change, Discussion Paper 2010-33, Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard Project on International Climate Agreements, January 2010. Perspectives on Politics, 9(1), 7–23.https://doi.org/10.1017/S1537592710004068

Kim, D. (2013). International Nongovernmental Organizations and the Global Diffusion of National Human Rights Institutions. International Organization, 67(3), 505–539. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818313000131

Kneuer, M. (2012). Who is greener? Climate action and political regimes: trade-offs for national and international actors. Democratization, 19(5), 865–888. https://doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2012.709686

Kramer, M. (2022). The Dissolution of the Soviet Union. Journal of Cold War Studies, 24(1), 188–218. https://doi.org/10.1162/jcws_a_01059

Kuran, T. (1989). Sparks and prairie fires: A theory of unanticipated political revolution. Public Choice, 61(1), 41–74. https://www.jstor.org/stable/30025019

Linsenmeier, M., Mohommad, A., & Schwerhoff, G. (2023). Global benefits of the international diffusion of carbon pricing policies. Nature Climate Change, 13(7), 679–684. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01710-8

Mazzucato, M. (2015). The Green Entrepreneurial State. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2744602

Mazzucato, M. (2014). The entrepreneurial state: debunking public vs. private sector myths (Rev. ed). Anthem Press.

Mazzucato, M. (2011). The entrepreneurial state. Soundings, 49(49), 131–142. https://doi.org/10.3898/136266211798411183

Meckling, J., & Karplus, V. J. (2023). Political strategies for climate and environmental solutions. Nature Sustainability, 6(7), 742–751. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-023-01109-5

Mildenberger, M., & Tingley, D. (2019). Beliefs about Climate Beliefs: The Importance of Second-Order Opinions for Climate Politics. British Journal of Political Science, 49(4), 1279–1307. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123417000321

Mitchell, R. B., & Carpenter, C. (2019). Norms for the Earth: Changing the Climate on “Climate Change”. Journal of Global Security Studies, 4(4), 413–429. https://doi.org/10.1093/jogss/ogz006

Newell, P. (2015). The Politics Of Green Transformations In Capitalism. In M. Leach, P. Newell, & I. Scoones, The Politics of Green Transformations (1st ed., pp. 68–85). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315747378-5

Newell, P., Daley, F., & Twena, M. (2021). Changing our ways? Behaviour change and the climate crisis The report of the Cambridge Sustainability Commission on Scaling Behaviour Change. https://rapidtransition.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Cambridge-Sustainability-Commission-on-Scaling-behaviour-change-report.pdf

Oliver, A. J., & Reeves, A. (2015). The politics of disaster relief. Emerging Trends in the Social and Behavioral Sciences: An Interdisciplinary, Searchable, and Linkable Resource, 1–8.https://andrewreeves.org/papers/disasters-review.pdf

Park, S. (2006). Theorizing Norm Diffusion Within International Organizations. International Politics, 43(3), 342–361. https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.ip.8800149

Robinson, D. (2022). Ecocide — Puzzles and Possibilities. Journal of International Criminal Justice, 20(2), 313–347. https://doi.org/10.1093/jicj/mqac021

Sharpe, S. (2023). Five Times Faster: Rethinking the Science, Economics, and Diplomacy of Climate Change (1st ed.). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009326506

Smith, S. R. (2022). Towards an understanding of advocacy coalitions for rapid transition to net zero carbon in the United Kingdom. https://doi.org/10.15126/THESIS.900563

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Stokes, L. C. (2016). Electoral Backlash against Climate Policy: A Natural Experiment on Retrospective Voting and Local Resistance to Public Policy. American Journal of Political Science, 60(4), 958–974. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12220

Thacker, S., Adshead, D., Fay, M., Hallegatte, S., Harvey, M., Meller, H., O’Regan, N., Rozenberg, J., Watkins, G., & Hall, J. W. (2019). Infrastructure for sustainable development. Nature Sustainability, 2(4), 324–331. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-019-0256-8

Ürge-Vorsatz, D., Rosenzweig, C., Dawson, R. J., Sanchez Rodriguez, R., Bai, X., Barau, A. S., Seto, K. C., & Dhakal, S. (2018). Locking in positive climate responses in cities. Nature Climate Change, 8(3), 174–177. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0100-6

Van Asselt, H., & Green, F. (2023). COP26 and the dynamics of anti‐fossil fuel norms. WIREs Climate Change, 14(3), e816. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.816

Vanuatu ICJ Initiative. (2023). Vanuatu ICJ Initiative. https://www.vanuatuicj.com/

Willis, R. (2020). Too hot to handle? The democratic challenge of climate change. Bristol University Press.

Wills, R. (2018). Building the political mandate for climate action. Green Alliance. https://green-alliance.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Building_a_political_mandate_for_climate_action.pdf

Yankelovich, D. (2006, May 1). The Tipping Points. Foreign Affairs, 85(3). https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/tipping-points

4.4.3 Financial systems

Ameli, N., Dessens, O., Winning, M., Cronin, J., Chenet, H., Drummond, P., Calzadilla, A., Anandarajah, G., & Grubb, M. (2021). Higher cost of finance exacerbates a climate investment trap in developing economies. Nature Communications, 12(1), 4046. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-24305-3

Arthur, W. B. (1989). Competing technologies, increasing returns, and lock-in by historical events. The Economic Journal, 99(394), 116–131.https://doi.org/10.2307/2234208

Bernanke, B. S., Gertler, M., & Gilchrist, S. (1999). The financial accelerator in a quantitative business cycle framework. Handbook of Macroeconomics, 1, 1341–1393. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1574-0048(99)10034-X

Campiglio, E., & Lamperti, F. (2021). Sustainable Finance Policy-Making: Why and How 16. European Economy, 2, 59–74. Sustainable Finance Policy-Making: Why and How – European Economy (european-economy.eu)

Campiglio, E., Lamperti, F., & Terranova, R. (2023). Believe me when I say green! Heterogeneous expectations and climate policy uncertainty. Heterogeneous Expectations and Climate Policy Uncertainty (February 2023). Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy Working Paper, 419. Believe me when I say green! Heterogeneous expectations and climate policy uncertainty – Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment (lse.ac.uk)

Chenet, H. (2023) Financial institutions in the face of the environmental emergency (July 31, 2023). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4619966

Chenet, H., Ryan-Collins, J., & Van Lerven, F. (2019). Climate-related financial policy in a world of radical uncertainty: Towards a precautionary approach. UCL Institute for Innovation and Public Purpose WP, 13. Climate-Related Financial Policy in a World of Radical Uncertainty: Towards a Precautionary Approach by Hugues Chenet, Josh Ryan-Collins, Frank van Lerven :: SSRN

Crona, B., Folke, C., & Galaz, V. (2021). The Anthropocene reality of financial risk. One Earth, 4(5), 618–628. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2021.04.016

FTM. (2023). ‘The Great Green Investment Investigation: Fossil Finance.’ https://www.ftm.eu/fossil-finance

Gatti, D. D., Gallegati, M., Greenwald, B., Russo, A., & Stiglitz, J. E. (2010). The financial accelerator in an evolving credit network. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 34(9), 1627–1650. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2010.06.019

International Energy Agency (IEA) (2023) Net Zero Roadmap: A Global Pathway to Keep the 1.5 °C Goal in Reach. Available at: https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/d0ba63c5-9d93-4457-be03-da0f1405a5dd/NetZeroRoadmap_AGlobalPathwaytoKeepthe1.5CGoalinReach-2023Update.pdf

Lamperti, F., Bosetti, V., Roventini, A., Tavoni, M., & Treibich, T. (2021). Three green financial policies to address climate risks. Journal of Financial Stability, 54, 100875. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2021.100875

Lamperti, F., Dosi, G., Napoletano, M., Roventini, A., and Sapio, A. (2020). Climate change and green transitions in an agent-based integrated assessment model. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 153, 119806. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119806

Lamperti, L., Roventini, A, (2022). Beyond climate economics orthodoxy: impacts and policies in the agent-based integrated-assessment DSK model. European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, 3. https://doi.org/10.4337/ejeep.2022.0096

Le Ravalec, M., Rambaud, A., & Blum, V. (2022). Taking climate change seriously: Time to credibly communicate on corporate climate performance. Ecological Economics, 200, 107542. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2022.107542

Mazzucato, M. (2013). The entrepreneurial state: Debunking public vs. Private Sector Myths, 1. Anthem Press

Mazzucato, M., & Semieniuk, G. (2018). Financing renewable energy: Who is financing what and why it matters. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 127, 8–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2017.05.021

Rambaud, A., & Chenet, H. (2021). How to re-conceptualise and re-integrate climate-related

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Rickman, J., Falkenberg, M., Kothari, S., Larosa, F., Grubb, M., & Ameli, N. (2023b). The systemic challenge of phasing out fossil fuel finance [Preprint]. In Review. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-3121305/v1

Rickman, J., Kothari, S., Larosa, F., & Ameli, N. (2023a). Investment suitability and path dependency perpetuate inequity in international mitigation finance toward developing countries. One Earth, 6(10), 1304–1314. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.09.006

Robalino, D. A., & Lempert, R. J. (2000). Carrots and sticks for new technology: Abating greenhouse gas emissions in a heterogeneous and uncertain world. Integrated Assessment, 1(1), 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1019159210781

Perez, C. (2003). Technological revolutions and financial capital. Edward Elgar Publishing.

Schmidt, T. S. (2014). Low-carbon investment risks and de-risking. Nature Climate Change, 4(4), 237–239. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2112

Stern, N., & Stiglitz, J. E. (2023). Climate change and growth. Industrial and Corporate Change, 32(2), 277–303. https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtad008

Wieners, C., Lamperti, F., Buizza, R., Dosi, G., Roventini, A. (2023): Macroeconomic policies to stay below 2°C with sustainable growth, Technical Report, LEM Working Papers, forthcoming.https://www.anpec.org.br/encontro/2022/submissao/files_I/i11-4c05fb8bd6e38c7f95d7e9d26cba6086.pdf

4.4.4 Digitalisation

AECOM (2011). Energy Demand Research Project: Final Analysis. St Albans, UK, AECOM Ltd. https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/sites/default/files/docs/2011/06/energy-demand-research-project-final-analysis_0.pdf

Azarova, V., Cohen, J. J., Kollmann, A., & Reichl, J. (2020). Reducing household electricity consumption during evening peak demand times: Evidence from a field experiment. Energy Policy, 144, 111657. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111657

Baidya, S., Potdar, V., Pratim Ray, P., & Nandi, C. (2021). Reviewing the opportunities, challenges, and future directions for the digitalization of energy. Energy Research & Social Science, 81, 102243. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2021.102243

Bauer, P., Stevens, B., & Hazeleger, W. (2021). A digital twin of Earth for the green transition. Nature Climate Change, 11(2), 80–83. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-00986-y

Behavioural Insights TeamBIT (BIT). 2017. Evaluating the Nest Learning Thermostat. London, UK, Behavioural Insights Team (BIT). https://www.bi.team/publications/evaluating-the-nest-learning-thermostat/

Blanco, G., H. de Coninck, L. Agbemabiese, E. H. Mbaye Diagne, L. Diaz Anadon, Y. S. Lim, W.A. Pengue, A.D. Sagar, T. Sugiyama, K. Tanaka, E. Verdolini, J. Witajewski-Baltvilks, (2022). Innovation, technology development and transfer. In IPCC, 2022: Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, R. Slade, A. Al Khourdajie, R. van Diemen, D. McCollum, M. Pathak, S. Some, P. Vyas, R. Fradera, M. Belkacemi, A. Hasija, G. Lisboa, S. Luz, J. Malley, (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA. doi: 10.1017/9781009157926.018

Bohman, H., Ryan, J., Stjernborg, V., & Nilsson, D. (2021). A study of changes in everyday mobility during the Covid-19 pandemic: As perceived by people living in Malmö, Sweden. Transport Policy, 106, 109–119. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2021.03.013

Ceccato, R., Baldassa, A., Rossi, R., & Gastaldi, M. (2022). Potential long-term effects of Covid-19 on telecommuting and environment: An Italian case-study. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 109, 103401. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2022.103401

Creutzig, F., Acemoglu, D., Bai, X., Edwards, P. N., Hintz, M. J., Kaack, L. H., Kilkis, S., Kunkel, S., Luers, A., Milojevic-Dupont, N., Rejeski, D., Renn, J., Rolnick, D., Rosol, C., Russ, D., Turnbull, T., Verdolini, E., Wagner, F., Wilson, C., … Zumwald, M. (2022). Digitalization and the Anthropocene. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 47(1), 479–509. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-120920-100056

Creutzig, F., Franzen, M., Moeckel, R., Heinrichs, D., Nagel, K., Nieland, S., & Weisz, H. (2019). Leveraging digitalization for sustainability in urban transport. Global Sustainability, 2, e14. https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2019.11

Debnath, R., Creutzig, F., Sovacool, B. K., & Shuckburgh, E. (2023). Harnessing human and machine intelligence for planetary-level climate action. Npj Climate Action, 2(1), 20. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-023-00056-3

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Elldér, E. (2020). Telework and daily travel: New evidence from Sweden. Journal of Transport Geography, 86, 102777. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2020.102777

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European Parliament (2021). The impact of teleworking and digital work on workers and society. STUDY Requested by the EMPL committee and produced by the Policy Department for Economic, Scientific and Quality of Life Policies Directorate-General for Internal Policies. https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2021/662904/IPOL_STU(2021)662904_EN.pdf

Freitag, C., Berners-Lee, M., Widdicks, K., Knowles, B., Blair, G. S., & Friday, A. (2021). The real climate and transformative impact of ICT: A critique of estimates, trends, and regulations. Patterns, 2(9), 100340. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.patter.2021.100340

Galaz, V., H. Metzler, S. Daume, A. Olsson, B. Lindström, A. Marklund (2023). Climate misinformation in a climate of misinformation. Research brief. Stockholm Resilience Centre (Stockholm University) and the Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics (Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences). http://arxiv.org/abs/2306.1280

Global Enabling Sustainability Initiative (GESI) (2022). Digital with Purpose: Delivering a SMARTer2030. Brussels, Belgium, Global Enabling Sustainability Initiative https://gesi.org/research/gesi-digital-with-purpose-full-report

Grubler, A., Wilson, C., Bento, N., Boza-Kiss, B., Krey, V., McCollum, D. L., Rao, N. D., Riahi, K., Rogelj, J., De Stercke, S., Cullen, J., Frank, S., Fricko, O., Guo, F., Gidden, M., Havlík, P., Huppmann, D., Kiesewetter, G., Rafaj, P., … Valin, H. (2018). A low energy demand scenario for meeting the 1.5 °C target and sustainable development goals without negative emission technologies. Nature Energy, 3(6), 515–527. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-018-0172-6

Hargreaves, T., & Wilson, C. (2017). Smart Homes and Their Users. Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-68018-7

Heinfellner, H., Lambert, S., Vogel, J., & Praschl, M. (2020). Potentiale virtueller Mobilität – Rahmen und Maßnahmen für eine bestmögliche Verknüpfung virtueller und physischer Mobilität. https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.35590.29760

Heimans, J., Timms, H. (2018). New Power: How Power Works in Our Hyperconnected World–and How to Make It Work for You. Random House Audio Assets.

Hook, A., Court, V., Sovacool, B. K., & Sorrell, S. (2020). A systematic review of the energy and climate impacts of teleworking. Environmental Research Letters, 15(9), 093003. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab8a84

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Jensen, T., Holtz, G., Baedeker, C., & Chappin, É. J. L. (2016). Energy-efficiency impacts of an air-quality feedback device in residential buildings: An agent-based modeling assessment. Energy and Buildings, 116, 151–163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2015.11.067

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References

Chapter 4.1

Chapter 4.2

Chapter 4.3

4.3.1: Energy Systems

4.3.2 Transport and mobility systems

4.3.3. Food systems

Chapter 4.4. Cross-cutting enablers of positive tipping points

4.4.1 Socio-behavioural systems

4.4.2 Political systems

4.4.3 Financial systems

4.4.4 Digitalisation

4.4.5. Detecting ‘early opportunity indicators’ for positive tipping points

Chapter 4.5 Positive tipping cascades

Chapter 4.6 Risks, equity and justice in the governance of positive tipping points

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