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Schmid, N., Sewerin, S., & Schmidt, T. S. (2020). Explaining Advocacy Coalition Change with Policy Feedback. Policy Studies Journal, 48(4), 1109–1134. https://doi.org/10.1111/psj.12365

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Schneider, C. R., & Van Der Linden, S. (2023). Social norms as a powerful lever for motivating pro-climate actions. One Earth, 6(4), 346–351. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.03.014

Sharpe, S., & Lenton, T. M. (2021). Upward-scaling tipping cascades to meet climate goals: plausible grounds for hope. Climate Policy, 21(4), 421–433. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2020.1870097

Skjølsvold, T. M., & Coenen, L. (2021). Are rapid and inclusive energy and climate transitions oxymorons? Towards principles of responsible acceleration. Energy Research & Social Science, 79, 102164. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2021.102164

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Stadelmann-Steffen, I., Eder, C., Harring, N., Spilker, G., & Katsanidou, A. (2021). A framework for social tipping in climate change mitigation: What we can learn about social tipping dynamics from the chlorofluorocarbons phase-out. Energy Research & Social Science, 82, 102307. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2021.102307

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Trebeck, K., & Williams, J. (2019). The economics of arrival: ideas for a grown-up economy. Policy Press.

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Winkelmann, R., Donges, J. F., Smith, E. K., Milkoreit, M., Eder, C., Heitzig, J., Katsanidou, A., Wiedermann, M., Wunderling, N., & Lenton, T. M. (2022). Social tipping processes towards climate action: A conceptual framework. Ecological Economics, 192, 107242. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2021.107242

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Zografos, C., & Robbins, P. (2020). Green Sacrifice Zones, or Why a Green New Deal Cannot Ignore the Cost Shifts of Just Transitions. One Earth, 3(5), 543–546. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2020.10.012

Chapter 4.3

Creutzig, F., Niamir, L., Bai, X., Callaghan, M., Cullen, J., Díaz-José, J., Figueroa, M., Grubler, A., Lamb, W. F., Leip, A., Masanet, E., Mata, É., Mattauch, L., Minx, J. C., Mirasgedis, S., Mulugetta, Y., Nugroho, S. B., Pathak, M., Perkins, P., … Ürge-Vorsatz, D. (2022). Demand-side solutions to climate change mitigation consistent with high levels of well-being. Nature Climate Change, 12(1), 36–46. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01219-y

Fesenfeld, L. P., Schmid, N., Finger, R., Mathys, A., & Schmidt, T. S. (2022). The politics of enabling tipping points for sustainable development. One Earth, 5(10), 1100–1108. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2022.09.004

Geels, F. W., & Ayoub, M. (2023). A socio-technical transition perspective on positive tipping points in climate change mitigation: Analysing seven interacting feedback loops in offshore wind and electric vehicles acceleration. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 193, 122639. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2023.122639

Geels, F. W., Schwanen, T., Sorrell, S., Jenkins, K., & Sovacool, B. K. (2018). Reducing energy demand through low carbon innovation: A sociotechnical transitions perspective and thirteen research debates. Energy Research & Social Science, 40, 23–35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2017.11.003

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Trebeck, K., & Williams, J. (2019). The economics of arrival: ideas for a grown-up economy. Policy Press.

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4.3.1: Energy Systems 

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Brockway, P. E., Sorrell, S., Semieniuk, G., Heun, M. K., & Court, V. (2021). Energy efficiency and economy-wide rebound effects: A review of the evidence and its implications. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 141, 110781. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2021.110781

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Van Der Kam, M. J., Meelen, A. A. H., Van Sark, W. G. J. H. M., & Alkemade, F. (2018). Diffusion of solar photovoltaic systems and electric vehicles among Dutch consumers: Implications for the energy transition. Energy Research & Social Science, 46, 68–85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2018.06.003

Voestalpine (2023) Greentec steel – greentec steel. (n.d.). Retrieved 28 June 2023, from https://www.voestalpine.com/greentecsteel/en/

Wang, S., Hausfather, Z., Davis, S., Lloyd, J., Olson, E. B., Liebermann, L., Núñez-Mujica, G. D., & McBride, J. (2023). Future demand for electricity generation materials under different climate mitigation scenarios. Joule, 7(2), 309–332. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2023.01.001

Wilson, C., Kerr, L., Sprei, F., Vrain, E., & Wilson, M. (2020). Potential Climate Benefits of Digital Consumer Innovations. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 45(1), 113–144. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-012320-082424

Windemer, R. (2023). Acceptance should not be assumed. How the dynamics of social acceptance changes over time, impacting onshore wind repowering. Energy Policy, 173, 113363. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113363

Wolske, K. S., Gillingham, K. T., & Schultz, P. W. (2020). Peer influence on household energy behaviours. Nature Energy, 5(3), 202–212. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-019-0541-9

4.3.2 Transport and mobility systems

African Commute. (2018, May 18). The African commute: city transport trends. ASME ISHOW / IDEA LAB. https://medium.com/impact-engineered/the-african-commute-city-transport-trends-cf369e5106bd

Arnz, M., & Krumm, A. (2023). Sufficiency in passenger transport and its potential for lowering energy demand. Environmental Research Letters, 18(9), 094008. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acea98

Asensio, O. I., Apablaza, C. Z., Lawson, M. C., Chen, E. W., & Horner, S. J. (2022). Impacts of micromobility on car displacement with evidence from a natural experiment and geofencing policy. Nature Energy, 7(11), 1100–1108. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-022-01135-1

Ballot, E., & Fontane, F. (2010). Reducing transportation CO 2 emissions through pooling of supply networks: perspectives from a case study in French retail chains. Production Planning & Control, 21(6), 640–650. https://doi.org/10.1080/09537287.2010.489276

Becker, S., Von Schneidemesser, D., Caseiro, A., Götting, K., Schmitz, S., & Von Schneidemesser, E. (2022). Pop-up cycling infrastructure as a niche innovation for sustainable transportation in European cities: An inter- and transdisciplinary case study of Berlin. Sustainable Cities and Society, 87, 104168. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2022.104168

Bhardwaj, C., Axsen, J., & McCollum, D. (2022). How to design a zero-emissions vehicle mandate? Simulating impacts on sales, GHG emissions and cost-effectiveness using the AUtomaker-Consumer Model (AUM). Transport Policy, 117, 152–168. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2021.12.012

Brand, C., Dons, E., Anaya-Boig, E., Avila-Palencia, I., Clark, A., De Nazelle, A., Gascon, M., Gaupp-Berghausen, M., Gerike, R., Götschi, T., Iacorossi, F., Kahlmeier, S., Laeremans, M., Nieuwenhuijsen, M. J., Pablo Orjuela, J., Racioppi, F., Raser, E., Rojas-Rueda, D., Standaert, A., … Int Panis, L. (2021). The climate change mitigation effects of daily active travel in cities. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 93, 102764. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2021.102764

City of Cape Town. (2020) Our Futute – make it work. https://www.gov.za/sites/default/files/gcis_document/201409/ndp-2030-our-future-make-it-workr.pdf

City of Cape Town. (2021). Comprehensive Integrated Transport Plan 2018 – 2023. https://resource.capetown.gov.za/documentcentre/Documents/City%20strategies,%20plans%20and%20frameworks/Comprehensive%20Integrated%20Transport%20Plan.pdf

City of Cape Town. (2005). NMT Policy and Strategy Volume 1: Status Quo Assessment. https://resource.capetown.gov.za/documentcentre/Documents/City%20strategies,%20plans%20and%20frameworks/NMT_Policy_and_Strategy_Volume_1_Status_Qou_Assessment.pdf

City of Cape Town. (2017). CITY OF CAPE TOWN Cycling Strategy. https://resource.capetown.gov.za/documentcentre/Documents/City%20strategies,%20plans%20and%20frameworks/CCT_Cycling_Strategy.pdf

Cloke, J., Layfield, R. E. (1996). The Environmental Impacts Of Traffic Management Schemes. https://www.witpress.com/Secure/elibrary/papers/UT96/UT96021FU.pdf

Climate and Development Knowledge Network (CDKN). (2021). Promoting Non-motorized Transport in Nairobi: A Study on Users, Safety and Infrastructure Trends – Africa Portal. https://africaportal.org/publication/promoting-non-motorized-transport-nairobi-study-users-safety-and-infrastructure-trends/

Creutzig, F., Jochem, P., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Mattauch, L., Vuuren, D. P. V., McCollum, D., & Minx, J. (2015). Transport: A roadblock to climate change mitigation? Science, 350(6263), 911–912. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aac8033

Creutzig, F., Lohrey, S., & Franza, M. V. (2022). Shifting urban mobility patterns due to COVID-19: comparative analysis of implemented urban policies and travel behaviour changes with an assessment of overall GHG emissions implications. Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability, 2(4), 041003. https://doi.org/10.1088/2634-4505/ac949b

Creutzig, F., Niamir, L., Bai, X., Callaghan, M., Cullen, J., Díaz-José, J., Figueroa, M., Grubler, A., Lamb, W. F., Leip, A., Masanet, E., Mata, É., Mattauch, L., Minx, J. C., Mirasgedis, S., Mulugetta, Y., Nugroho, S. B., Pathak, M., Perkins, P., … Ürge-Vorsatz, D. (2022). Demand-side solutions to climate change mitigation consistent with high levels of well-being. Nature Climate Change, 12(1), 36–46. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01219-y

Curtis, C., & Scheurer, J. (2017). Performance measures for public transport accessibility: Learning from international practice. Journal of Transport and Land Use, 10(1), 93–118. https://doi.org/10.5198/jtlu.2015.683

Department for Transport. (2021). Statistical Release 28 January 2021National Travel Attitudes Study: Wave 4 (Final). https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/956170/national-travel-attitudes-study-wave-4-final.pdf

Farmer, J. D., & Lafond, F. (2016). How predictable is technological progress? Research Policy, 45(3), 647–665. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2015.11.001

Feddes, F., & Lange, M. de. (2019). Bicycle city Amsterdam: how Amsterdam became the cycling capital of the world. Bas Lubberhuizen.

Geels, F. W., & Ayoub, M. (2023). A socio-technical transition perspective on positive tipping points in climate change mitigation: Analysing seven interacting feedback loops in offshore wind and electric vehicles acceleration. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 193, 122639. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2023.122639

Goetsch, H., & Quiros, T. (2020). COVID-19 creates new momentum for cycling and walking. We can’t let it go to waste! https://blogs.worldbank.org/transport/covid-19-creates-new-momentum-cycling-and-walking-we-cant-let-it-go-waste

Hanson, S., & Jones, A. (2015). Is there evidence that walking groups have health benefits? A systematic review and meta-analysis. British Journal of Sports Medicine, 49(11), 710–715.http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bjsports-2014-09415

International Energy Agency (IEA) (2023) Global EV Data Explorer – Data Tools. (2023, November 2). IEA. https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/data-tools/global-ev-data-explorer

Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change (IPCC). (2023). Climate Change 2022 – Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability: Working Group II Contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (1st ed.). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009325844

International Transport Forum (ITF). (2023). ITF Transport Outlook 2023. OECD. https://doi.org/10.1787/b6cc9ad5-en

Jiménez-Espada, M., García, F. M. M., & González-Escobar, R. (2023). Citizen Perception and Ex Ante Acceptance of a Low-Emission Zone Implementation in a Medium-Sized Spanish City. Buildings, 13(1), 249. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings13010249

Jittrapirom, P., Bekius, F., & Führer, K. (2023). Visioning future transport systems with an integrated robust and generative framework. Scientific Reports, 13(1), 4316. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-30818-2

United Nations Environmental Programme (UNEP) (2018) ‘Kenya prioritizes non-motorized transport to enhance road safety’. (2018, December 19). . http://www.unep.org/news-and-stories/blogpost/kenya-prioritizes-non-motorized-transport-enhance-road-safety

Kathuria, A., Parida, M., Ravi Sekhar, Ch., & Sharma, A. (2016). A review of bus rapid transit implementation in India. Cogent Engineering, 3(1), 1241168. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311916.2016.1241168

Knobloch, F., Hanssen, S. V., Lam, A., Pollitt, H., Salas, P., Chewpreecha, U., Huijbregts, M. A. J., & Mercure, J.-F. (2020). Net emission reductions from electric cars and heat pumps in 59 world regions over time. Nature Sustainability, 3(6), 437–447. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-020-0488-7

Kraus, S., & Koch, N. (2021). Provisional COVID-19 infrastructure induces large, rapid increases in cycling. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(15), e2024399118. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2024399118

Kitzmann, N. H., Romanczuk, P., Wunderling, N., & Donges, J. F. (2022). Detecting contagious spreading of urban innovations on the global city network. The European Physical Journal Special Topics, 231(9), 1609–1624. https://doi.org/10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00470-4

Kuss, P., & Nicholas, K. A. (2022). A dozen effective interventions to reduce car use in European cities: Lessons learned from a meta-analysis and transition management. Case Studies on Transport Policy, 10(3), 1494–1513. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cstp.2022.02.001

Lam, V. W. Y., Allison, E. H., Bell, J. D., Blythe, J., Cheung, W. W. L., Frölicher, T. L., Gasalla, M. A., & Sumaila, U. R. (2020). Climate change, tropical fisheries and prospects for sustainable development. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 1(9), 440–454. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-020-0071-9

Lam, A., & Mercure, J.-F. (2022). Evidence for a global electric vehicle tipping point. https://www.exeter.ac.uk/media/universityofexeter/globalsystemsinstitute/documents/Lam_et_al_Evidence_for_a_global_EV_TP.pdf

Lindau, L. A., Hidalgo, D., & Facchini, D. (2010). Bus Rapid Transit in Curitiba, Brazil: A Look at the Outcome After 35 Years of Bus-Oriented Development. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2193(1), 17–27. https://doi.org/10.3141/2193-03

Mansoor, U., Kashifi, M. T., Safi, F. R., & Rahman, S. M. (2022). A review of factors and benefits of non-motorized transport: a way forward for developing countries. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 24(2), 1560–1582. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-021-01531-9

Marques, A., Peralta, M., Henriques-Neto, D., Frasquilho, D., Rubio Gouveira, É., & Gomez-Baya, D. (2020). Active Commuting and Depression Symptoms in Adults: A Systematic Review. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 17(3), 1041. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17031041

Mattioli, G., Roberts, C., Steinberger, J. K., & Brown, A. (2020). The political economy of car dependence: A systems of provision approach. Energy Research & Social Science, 66, 101486. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2020.101486

Meldrum, M., Pinnell, L., Brennan, K., Romani, M., Sharpe, S., & Lenton, T. (2023). The Breakthrough Effect: How to trigger a cascade of tipping points to accelerate the net zero transition.https://www.systemiq.earth/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/The-Breakthrough-Effect.pdf

Nataraj, S., Ferone, D., Quintero-Araujo, C., Juan, A. A., & Festa, P. (2019). Consolidation centers in city logistics: A cooperative approach based on the location routing problem. International Journal of Industrial Engineering Computations, 393–404. https://doi.org/10.5267/j.ijiec.2019.1.001

National Planning Commission: Republic of South Africa. (2020). National Development Plan 2030: Our future – make it work. https://www.gov.za/sites/default/files/gcis_document/201409/ndp-2030-our-future-make-it-workr.pdf

Neves, A., Brand, C. (2019). Assessing the potential for carbon emissions savings from replacing short car trips with walking and cycling using a mixed GPS-travel diary approach. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 123, 130–146. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2018.08.022

Newman, P. (2020). Cool planning: How urban planning can mainstream responses to climate change. Cities, 103, 102651. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2020.102651

Nieuwenhuijsen, M. J. (2021). New urban models for more sustainable, liveable and healthier cities post covid19; reducing air pollution, noise and heat island effects and increasing green space and physical activity. Environment International, 157, 106850. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2021.106850

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). (2021). Transport Strategies for Net-Zero Systems by Design. OECD. https://doi.org/10.1787/0a20f779-en

Sharpe, S., & Lenton, T. M. (2021). Upward-scaling tipping cascades to meet climate goals: plausible grounds for hope. Climate Policy, 21(4), 421–433. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2020.1870097

Pierer, C., Creutzig, F. (2019). Star-shaped cities alleviate trade-off between climate change mitigation and adaptation. Environmental Research Letters, 14(8), 085011. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab2081

Pucher, J., Buehler, R. (2008). Making Cycling Irresistible: Lessons from The Netherlands, Denmark and Germany. Transport Reviews, 28(4), 495–528. https://doi.org/10.1080/01441640701806612

International Energy Agency (IEA). (2023). Transport – Energy System. (2023, November 2).https://www.iea.org/energy-system/transport

Vanovermeire, C., & Sörensen, K. (2014). Integration of the cost allocation in the optimization of collaborative bundling. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 72, 125–143. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2014.09.009

Wang, Y., Sanchez Rodrigues, V., & Evans, L. (2015). The use of ICT in road freight transport for CO 2 reduction – an exploratory study of UK’s grocery retail industry. The International Journal of Logistics Management, 26(1), 2–29. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJLM-02-2013-0021

Way, R., Ives, M. C., Mealy, P., & Farmer, J. D. (2022). Empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition. Joule, 6(9), 2057–2082. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2022.08.009

Zhang, R., Fujimori, S., & Hanaoka, T. (2018). The contribution of transport policies to the mitigation potential and cost of 2 °C and 1.5 °C goals. Environmental Research Letters, 13(5), 054008. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aabb0d

4.3.3. Food systems

African Carbon Markets Initiative (ACMI). (2022). Africa Carbon Markets Initiative: Roadmap Report. https://www.seforall.org/publications/africa-carbon-markets-initiative-roadmap-report

African Union. (2023).  The African Leaders Nairobi Declaration on Climate Change and Call to Action. https://au.int/sites/default/files/decisions/43124-Nairobi_Declaration_06092023.pdf

Agence de la transition écologique [ADEME]. (2018). IAA témoins : moins de gaspillage alimentaire pour plus de performance. La librairie ADEME. https://librairie.ademe.fr/consommer-autrement/897-iaa-temoins-moins-de-gaspillage-alimentaire-pour-plus-de-performance.html

Ainsworth, D., Collins, T., & d’Amico, F. (2022). Nations adopt four goals, 23 targets for 2030 in Landmark UN Biodiversity Agreement. 19, 2022–12.https://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/blog/2022/12/press-release-nations-adopt-four-goals-23-targets-for-2030-in-landmark-un-biodiversity-agreement/

Albizzati, P. F., Tonini, D., Chammard, C. B., & Astrup, T. F. (2019). Valorisation of surplus food in the French retail sector: Environmental and economic impacts. Waste Management, 90, 141–151. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasman.2019.04.034

Allievi, F., Antonelli, M., Dembska, K., & Principato, L. (2019). Understanding the global food system. Achieving the Sustainable Development Goals Through Sustainable Food Systems, 3–23.https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-23969-5_1

Alston, J. M., & Pardey, P. G. (2014). Agriculture in the Global Economy. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 28(1), 121–146. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.28.1.121

Armstrong McKay, D. I., Staal, A., Abrams, J. F., Winkelmann, R., Sakschewski, B., Loriani, S., Fetzer, I., Cornell, S. E., Rockström, J., & Lenton, T. M. (2022). Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points. Science, 377(6611), eabn7950. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abn7950

Bai, Y., Costlow, L., Ebel, A., Laves, S., Ueda, Y., Volin, N., Zamek, M., & Masters, W. A. (2022). Retail prices of nutritious food rose more in countries with higher COVID-19 case counts. Nature Food, 3(5), 325–330. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-022-00502-1

Balmford, A., Brancalion, P. H. S., Coomes, D., Filewod, B., Groom, B., Guizar-Couti Ño, A., Jones, J. P. G., Keshav, S., Kontoleon, A., Madhavapeddy, A., Malhi, Y., Sills, E. O., Strassburg, B. B. N., Venmans, F., West, T. A. P., Wheeler, C., & Swinfield, T. (2023). Credit credibility threatens forests. Science, 380(6644), 466–467. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adh3426

Barrett, C. B., Benton, T. G., Cooper, K. A., Fanzo, J., Gandhi, R., Herrero, M., James, S., Kahn, M., Mason-D’Croz, D., Mathys, A., Nelson, R. J., Shen, J., Thornton, P., Bageant, E., Fan, S., Mude, A. G., Sibanda, L. M., & Wood, S. (2020). Bundling innovations to transform agri-food systems. Nature Sustainability, 3(12), 974–976. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-020-00661-8

Benjamin, E. O., & Blum, M. (2015). Participation of Smallholders in Agroforestry Agri-Environmental Scheme: A Lesson from the Rural Mount Kenyan Region’. The Journal of Developing Areas, 49(4), 127–143. http://www.jstor.org/stable/24737367

Benjamin, E. O., Blum, M., & Punt, M. (2016). The impact of extension and ecosystem services on smallholder’s credit constraint. The Journal of Developing Areas, 50(1), 333–350. https://doi.org/10.1353/jda.2016.0020

Benjamin, E. O., Ola, O., & Buchenrieder, G. (2018). Does an agroforestry scheme with payment for ecosystem services (PES) economically empower women in sub-Saharan Africa? Ecosystem Services, 31, 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2018.03.004

Benjamin, E. O., & Sauer, J. (2018). The cost effectiveness of payments for ecosystem services—Smallholders and agroforestry in Africa. Land Use Policy, 71, 293–302. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.12.001

Bogmans, Christian, Andrea Pescatori, and Ervin Prifti. (2022). Global Food Prices to Remain Elevated Amid War, Costly Energy, La Niña. https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/12/09/global-food-prices-to-remain-elevated-amid-war-costly-energy-la-nina

Bond, W. J., Stevens, N., Midgley, G. F., & Lehmann, C. E. R. (2019). The Trouble with Trees: Afforestation Plans for Africa. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 34(11), 963–965. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2019.08.003

Buxton, J., Powell, T., Ambler, J., Boulton, C., Nicholson, A., Arthur, R., Lees, K., Williams, H., & Lenton, T. M. (2021). Community-driven tree planting greens the neighbouring landscape. Scientific Reports, 11(1), 18239. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-96973-6

Carter, N., & Jacobs, M. (2014). Explaining Radical Policy Change: The Case of Climate Change and Energy Policy Under the British Labour Government 2006–10’. Public Administration, 92(1), 125–141. https://doi.org/10.1111/padm.12046

Corréard, V. (2023). Label anti-gaspi : ‘Valoriser les bons élèves auprès des consommateurs’. L’info durable, January 22 2023 https://www.linfodurable.fr/entreprises/valoriser-les-bons-eleves-aupres-des-consommateurs-36471

Creutzig, F., Niamir, L., Bai, X., Callaghan, M., Cullen, J., Díaz-José, J., Figueroa, M., Grubler, A., Lamb, W. F., Leip, A., Masanet, E., Mata, É., Mattauch, L., Minx, J. C., Mirasgedis, S., Mulugetta, Y., Nugroho, S. B., Pathak, M., Perkins, P., … Ürge-Vorsatz, D. (2022). Demand-side solutions to climate change mitigation consistent with high levels of well-being. Nature Climate Change, 12(1), 36–46. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01219-y

Dagevos, H.,  Voordouw, J. (2013). Sustainability and meat consumption: is reduction realistic? Sustainability: Science, Practice and Policy, 9(2), 60–69. https://doi.org/10.1080/15487733.2013.11908115

Daugbjerg, C. (2003). Policy feedback and paradigm shift in EU agricultural policy: the effects of the MacSharry reform on future reform. Journal of European Public Policy, 10(3), 421–437. https://doi.org/10.1080/1350176032000085388

De Giusti, G., Kristjanson, P., & Rufino, M. C. (2019). Agroforestry as a climate change mitigation practice in smallholder farming: evidence from Kenya. Climatic Change, 153(3), 379–394. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02390-0

De Schutter, O. (2017). The political economy of food systems reform. European Review of Agricultural Economics, 44(4), 705–731. https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbx009

Doelman, J. C., Beier, F. D., Stehfest, E., Bodirsky, B. L., Beusen, A. H. W., Humpenöder, F., Mishra, A., Popp, A., Van Vuuren, D. P., De Vos, L., Weindl, I., Van Zeist, W.-J., & Kram, T. (2022). Quantifying synergies and trade-offs in the global water-land-food-climate nexus using a multi-model scenario approach. Environmental Research Letters, 17(4), 045004. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac5766

EU Parliament. (2023, May 10). REGULATION (EU) 2023/956 OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL of 10th May 2023 establishing a carbon border adjustment mechanism. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2023/956/oj

Farina, E. M. M. Q., Gutman, G. E., Lavarello, P. J., Nunes, R., & Reardon, T. (2005). Private and public milk standards in Argentina and Brazil. Food Policy, 30(3), 302–315. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2005.05.008

Fesenfeld, L. (2023). The political economy of taxing meat. Nature Food, 4(3), 209–210. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-023-00716-x

Fesenfeld, L., Mann, S., Meier, M., Nemecek, T., Scharrer, B., Bornemann, B., Brombach, C., Beretta, C., Bürgi, E., Grabs, J., Ingold, K., Jeanneret, P., Kislig, S., Lieberherr, E., Müller, A., Pfister, S., Schader, C., Schönberg, S., Sonnevelt, M., … Zähringer, J. (2023b). Wege in die Ernährungszukunft der Schweiz – Leitfaden zu den grössten Hebeln und politischen Pfaden für ein nachhaltiges Ernährungssystem. https://doi.org/10.5281/ZENODO.7543576

Fesenfeld, L. P., Candel, J., & Gaupp, F. (2023). Governance principles for accelerating food systems transformation in the European Union. Nature Food. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-023-00850-6

Fesenfeld, L.P., Maier, M., Brazzola, N., Stolz, N., Sun, Y., & Kachi, A. (2023a). How information, social norms, and experience with novel meat substitutes can create positive political feedback and demand-side policy change. Food Policy, 117, 102445. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2023.102445

Fesenfeld, L. P., Schmid, N., Finger, R., Mathys, A., & Schmidt, T. S. (2022). The politics of enabling tipping points for sustainable development. One Earth, 5(10), 1100–1108. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2022.09.004

Fesenfeld, L., Rudolph, L. & Bernauer, T. Policy framing, design and feedback can increase public support for costly food waste regulation. Nat Food 3, 227–235 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-022-00460-8

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Chapter 4.4. Cross-cutting enablers of positive tipping points

4.4.1 Socio-behavioural systems

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Geiger, N., & Swim, J. K. (2016). Climate of silence: Pluralistic ignorance as a barrier to climate change discussion. Journal of Environmental Psychology, 47, 79–90. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvp.2016.05.002

Geßner, L. (2019, March 26). Who Will Sustain Sustainable Prosperity? | Essay by Miriam Ronzoni. Centre for the Understanding of Sustainable Prosperity. https://cusp.ac.uk/themes/m/m1-7/

Gössling, S., & Humpe, A. (2023). Millionaire spending incompatible with 1.5 °C ambitions. Cleaner Production Letters, 4, 100027. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.clpl.2022.100027

Green, F. (2018). Anti-fossil fuel norms. Climatic Change, 150(1–2), 103–116. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-017-2134-6

Guilbeault, D., Becker, J., and Centola, D. (2018). Complex Contagions: A Decade in Review, in: Complex Spreading Phenomena in Social Systems, edited by: Lehmann, S. and Ahn, Y., Springer Nature, 3-25, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-77332-2

Harvey, F., & editor, F. H. E. (2023, September 9). Global push for commitment to phase out fossil fuels gathers pace ahead of Cop28. The Observer. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/09/phase-out-fossil-fuels-cop-28-un-summit-coal-oil-gas

Hertwig, R., & Grüne-Yanoff, T. (2017). Nudging and Boosting: Steering or Empowering Good Decisions. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 12(6), 973–986. https://doi.org/10.1177/1745691617702496

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Ivanova, D., Stadler, K., Steen‐Olsen, K., Wood, R., Vita, G., Tukker, A., & Hertwich, E. G. (2016). Environmental Impact Assessment of Household Consumption. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 20(3), 526–536. https://doi.org/10.1111/jiec.12371

Jenkin, M. (2014, March 12). Crops to classrooms: how school farms are growing student engagement. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/teacher-network/teacher-blog/2014/mar/12/school-farms-en

Kaaronen, R. O., & Strelkovskii, N. (2020). Cultural Evolution of Sustainable Behaviors: Pro-environmental Tipping Points in an Agent-Based Model. One Earth, 2(1), 85–97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2020.01.003

Kenner, D. (2019). Carbon Inequality: The Role of the Richest in Climate Change (1st ed.). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781351171328

Lamb, W. F., Mattioli, G., Levi, S., Roberts, J. T., Capstick, S., Creutzig, F., Minx, J. C., Müller-Hansen, F., Culhane, T., & Steinberger, J. K. (2020). Discourses of climate delay. Global Sustainability, 3, e17. https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2020.13

Lenton, T. M. (2020). Tipping positive change. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 375(1794), 20190123. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2019.012

Lenton, T. M., Xu, C., Abrams, J. F., Ghadiali, A., Loriani, S., Sakschewski, B., Zimm, C., Ebi, K. L., Dunn, R. R., Svenning, J.-C., & Scheffer, M. (2023). Quantifying the human cost of global warming. Nature Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-023-01132-6

Macintyre, T., Lotz-Sisitka, H., Wals, A., Vogel, C., & Tassone, V. (2018). Towards transformative social learning on the path to 1.5 degrees. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 31, 80–87. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2017.12.003

Macy, J., & Johnstone, C. (2012). Active hope: how to face the mess we’re in without going crazy. New World Library.

Muñoz, J., Olzak, S., & Soule, S. A. (2018). Going Green: Environmental Protest, Policy, and CO 2 Emissions in U.S. States, 1990–2007. Sociological Forum, 33(2), 403–421. https://doi.org/10.1111/socf.12422

Nardini, G., Rank‐Christman, T., Bublitz, M. G., Cross, S. N. N., & Peracchio, L. A. (2021). Together We Rise: How Social Movements Succeed. Journal of Consumer Psychology, 31(1), 112–145. https://doi.org/10.1002/jcpy.1201

Nisbett, N., & Spaiser, V. (2023). Moral power of youth activists – Transforming international climate Politics? Global Environmental Change, 82, 102717. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102717

Nyborg, K. (2018). Social Norms and the Environment. Annual Review of Resource Economics, 10(1), 405–423. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-100517-023232

Nyborg, K., Anderies, J. M., Dannenberg, A., Lindahl, T., Schill, C., Schlüter, M., Adger, W. N., Arrow, K. J., Barrett, S., Carpenter, S., Chapin, F. S., Crépin, A.-S., Daily, G., Ehrlich, P., Folke, C., Jager, W., Kautsky, N., Levin, S. A., Madsen, O. J., … De Zeeuw, A. (2016). Social norms as solutions. Science, 354(6308), 42–43. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaf8317

Nyborg, K., & Rege, M. (2003). On social norms: the evolution of considerate smoking behavior. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 52(3), 323–340. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-2681(03)00031-3

O’Brien, E. (2020). When Small Signs of Change Add Up: The Psychology of Tipping Points. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 29(1), 55–62. https://doi.org/10.1177/0963721419884313

O’Brien, E., & Klein, N. (2017). The tipping point of perceived change: Asymmetric thresholds in diagnosing improvement versus decline. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 112(2), 161–185. https://doi.org/10.1037/pspa0000070

Oldfield, J. R. (2013). Transatlantic Abolitionism in the Age of Revolution: An International History of Anti-slavery, c.1787–1820 (1st ed.). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139344272

Ollinaho, O. I. (2016). Environmental destruction as (objectively) uneventful and (subjectively) irrelevant. Environmental Sociology, 2(1), 53–63. https://doi.org/10.1080/23251042.2015.1114207

O’Sullivan, D. J. P., O’Keeffe, G. J., Fennell, P. G., & Gleeson, J. P. (2015). Mathematical modeling of complex contagion on clustered networks. Frontiers in Physics, 3. https://doi.org/10.3389/fphy.2015.00071

Oswald, Y., Millward-Hopkins, J., Steinberger, J. K., Owen, A., & Ivanova, D. (2023). Luxury-focused carbon taxation improves fairness of climate policy. One Earth, 6(7), 884–898. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.05.027

Otto, I. M., Donges, J. F., Cremades, R., Bhowmik, A., Hewitt, R. J., Lucht, W., Rockström, J., Allerberger, F., McCaffrey, M., Doe, S. S. P., Lenferna, A., Morán, N., Van Vuuren, D. P., & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2020). Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(5), 2354–2365. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1900577117

Pahl-Wostl, C. (2009). A conceptual framework for analysing adaptive capacity and multi-level learning processes in resource governance regimes. Global Environmental Change, 19(3), 354–365. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.06.001

Pathak, M., R. Slade, P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, R. Pichs-Madruga, D. Ürge-Vorsatz, (Ed.). (2022). Technical Summary. In: Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. In Climate Change 2022 – Mitigation of Climate Change (1st ed., pp. 51–148). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157926.002

Rammelt, C. F., Gupta, J., Liverman, D., Scholtens, J., Ciobanu, D., Abrams, J. F., Bai, X., Gifford, L., Gordon, C., Hurlbert, M., Inoue, C. Y. A., Jacobson, L., Lade, S. J., Lenton, T. M., McKay, D. I. A., Nakicenovic, N., Okereke, C., Otto, I. M., Pereira, L. M., … Zimm, C. (2022). Impacts of meeting minimum access on critical earth systems amidst the Great Inequality. Nature Sustainability, 6(2), 212–221. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-022-00995-5

Rockström, J., Gupta, J., Qin, D., Lade, S. J., Abrams, J. F., Andersen, L. S., Armstrong McKay, D. I., Bai, X., Bala, G., Bunn, S. E., Ciobanu, D., DeClerck, F., Ebi, K., Gifford, L., Gordon, C., Hasan, S., Kanie, N., Lenton, T. M., Loriani, S., … Zhang, X. (2023). Safe and just Earth system boundaries. Nature, 619(7968), 102–111. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06083-8

Ronzoni, M. (2019). Who Will Sustain Sustainable Prosperity?, CUSP essay series on the Morality of Sustainable Prosperity | No 7, https://cusp.ac.uk/themes/m/m1-7/

Schaumberg, R. L., & Skowronek, S. E. (2022). Shame Broadcasts Social Norms: The Positive Social Effects of Shame on Norm Acquisition and Normative Behavior. Psychological Science, 33(8), 1257–1277. https://doi.org/10.1177/09567976221075303

Schneider, C. R., & Van Der Linden, S. (2023). Social norms as a powerful lever for motivating pro-climate actions. One Earth, 6(4), 346–351. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.03.014

Séré De Lanauze, G., & Siadou-Martin, B. (2019). Dissonant cognitions: from psychological discomfort to motivation to change. Journal of Consumer Marketing, 36(5), 565–581. https://doi.org/10.1108/JCM-07-2017-2279

Shrum, T. Endogenous Preferences, Intrinsic Motivation, and the Evolution of Pro-Environmental Behavior. SSRN (2021) http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3837023 

Smith, L. G. E., Thomas, E. F., & McGarty, C. (2015). “We Must Be the Change We Want to See in the World”: Integrating Norms and Identities through Social Interaction. Political Psychology, 36(5), 543–557. https://doi.org/10.1111/pops.12180

Stiglitz, J. E., Stern, N., Duan, M., Edenhofer, O., Giraud, G., Heal, G. M., La Rovere, E. L., Morris, A., Moyer, E., Pangestu, M., Shukla, P. R., Sokona, Y., & Winkler, H. (2017). Report of the High-Level Commission on Carbon Prices. https://doi.org/10.7916/D8-W2NC-4103

Stokes, L. C. (UCSB). (2015). Replication Data for: Electoral Backlash against Climate Policy: A Natural Experiment on Retrospective Voting and Local Resistance to Public Policy. Harvard Dataverse. https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/SDUGCC

Stoknes, P. E., & Randers, J. (2015). What we think about when we try not to think about global warming: toward a new psychology of climate action. Chelsea Green Publishing. ISBN 9781603585835

Tàbara, J. D. (2023). Regenerative sustainability. A relational model of possibilities for the emergence of positive tipping points. Environmental Sociology, 9(4), 366–385. https://doi.org/10.1080/23251042.2023.2239538

Tàbara, J. D., & Chabay, I. (2013). Coupling Human Information and Knowledge Systems with social–ecological systems change: Reframing research, education, and policy for sustainability. Environmental Science & Policy, 28, 71–81. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2012.11.005

Tannenbaum, M. B., Hepler, J., Zimmerman, R. S., Saul, L., Jacobs, S., Wilson, K., & Albarracín, D. (2015). Appealing to fear: A meta-analysis of fear appeal effectiveness and theories. Psychological Bulletin, 141(6), 1178. https://doi.org/10.1037%2Fa0039729 

Törnberg, P. (2018). Echo chambers and viral misinformation: Modeling fake news as complex contagion. PLOS ONE, 13(9), e0203958. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0203958

Vowles, K., & Hultman, M. (2021). Dead White men vs. Greta Thunberg: Nationalism, Misogyny, and Climate Change Denial in Swedish far-right Digital Media. Australian Feminist Studies, 36(110), 414–431. https://doi.org/10.1080/08164649.2022.2062669

Wasow, O. (2020). Agenda Seeding: How 1960s Black Protests Moved Elites, Public Opinion and Voting. American Political Science Review, 114(3), 638–659. https://doi.org/10.1017/S000305542000009X

Wiedermann, M., Smith, E. K., Heitzig, J., & Donges, J. F. (2020). A network-based microfoundation of Granovetter’s threshold model for social tipping. Scientific Reports, 10(1), 11202. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-67102-6

Willis, R. (2018). Building the political mandate for climate action. Green Alliance. https://green-alliance.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Building_a_political_mandate_for_climate_action.pdf 

Wilson, S., Carlson, A., & Szeman, I. (Eds.). (2017). Petrocultures: Oil, Politics, Culture. McGill-Queen’s University Press. https://www.jstor.org/stable/j.ctt1qft0q7

Woodly, D. R. (2015). The Politics of Common Sense: How Social Movements Use Public Discourse to Change Politics and Win Acceptance. Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780190203986.001.0001

Xie, J., Meng, F., Sun, J., Ma, X., Yan, G., & Hu, Y. (2021). Detecting and modelling real percolation and phase transitions of information on social media. Nature Human Behaviour, 5(9), 1161–1168. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-021-01090-z

Yadin, S. (2023). Fighting Climate Change through Shaming (1st ed.). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009256230

Yoeli, E., Hoffman, M., Rand, D.G. and Nowak, M.A. (2013). Powering up with indirect reciprocity in a large-scale field experiment. PNAS. 110, 10424-10429, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1301210110 

Zhou, J. (2016). Boomerangs versus Javelins: How Polarization Constrains Communication on Climate Change. Environmental Politics, 25(5), 788–811. https://doi.org/10.1080/09644016.2016.1166602

4.4.2 Political systems

Aklin, M., & Mildenberger, M. (2020). Prisoners of the Wrong Dilemma: Why Distributive Conflict, Not Collective Action, Characterizes the Politics of Climate Change. Global Environmental Politics, 20(4), 4–27. https://doi.org/10.1162/glep_a_00578

Barrett, S. (2003). Environment and statecraft: The strategy of environmental treaty-making: The strategy of environmental treaty-making. OUP Oxford.

Barrett, S., & Dannenberg, A. (2014). Sensitivity of collective action to uncertainty about climate tipping points. Nature Climate Change, 4(1), 36–39. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2059

Besley, T., & Persson, T. (2023). The Political Economics of Green Transitions. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 138(3), 1863–1906. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjad006

Bhowmik, A. K., McCaffrey, M. S., Ruskey, A. M., Frischmann, C., & Gaffney, O. (2020). Powers of 10: seeking ‘sweet spots’ for rapid climate and sustainability actions between individual and global scales. Environmental Research Letters, 15(9), 094011. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab9ed0

Bozuwa, J. Mulvaneym D. (2023). A Progressive Take on Permitting Reform: Principles and Policies to Unleash a Faster, More Equitable Green Transition, Roosevelt Institution. https://rooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/RI_Progressive_Permitting_Report_202308.pdf

Casoria, F., Galeotti, F., & Villeval, M. C. (2021). Perceived social norm and behavior quickly adjusted to legal changes during the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 190, 54–65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2021.07.030

Chapin, Iii, F. S. (2021). Social and environmental change in the Arctic: emerging opportunities for well-being transformations through stewardship. Ecology and Society, 26(3), art15. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-12499-260315

Climate Action Tracker. (2023). https://climateactiontracker.org/

Constantino, S. M., Skaredina, O., & Ivanova, M. (2023). Catalytic leadership in climate change negotiations: a reply to ‘Why do climate change negotiations stall? Scientific evidence and solutions for some structural problems’ by Ulrich J. Frey and Jazmin Burgess. Global Discourse, 13(2), 183–190. https://doi.org/10.1332/204378921X16842177275040

Corbett, J., Xu, Y., & Weller, P. (2019). Norm entrepreneurship and diffusion ‘from below’ in international organisations: How the competent performance of vulnerability generates benefits for small states. Review of International Studies, 45(4), 647–668. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0260210519000068

Delivering Net Zero (DNZ). (2021). DNZ: Delivering Net Zero. Key Themes from the Academic Community. Delivering Net Zero; https://www.deliveringnetzero.org/_files/ugd/9a8b80_a07f39f27e314c5781f7b6a5a1f12b20.pdf

Eder, C., & Stadelmann-Steffen, I. (2023). Bringing the political system (back) into social tipping relevant to sustainability. Energy Policy, 177, 113529. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113529

Farmer, J. D., Hepburn, C., Ives, M. C., Hale, T., Wetzer, T., Mealy, P., Rafaty, R., Srivastav, S., & Way, R. (2019). Sensitive intervention points in the post-carbon transition. Science, 364(6436), 132–134. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw7287

Finnemore, M., & Sikkink, K. (1998). International Norm Dynamics and Political Change. International Organization, 52(4), 887–917. https://doi.org/10.1162/002081898550789

Geels, F. W., & Ayoub, M. (2023). A socio-technical transition perspective on positive tipping points in climate change mitigation: Analysing seven interacting feedback loops in offshore wind and electric vehicles acceleration. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 193, 122639. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2023.122639

Green, F. (2018). Anti-fossil fuel norms. Climatic Change, 150(1–2), 103–116. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-017-2134-6

Grimalda, G., Belianin, A., Hennig-Schmidt, H., Requate, T., & Ryzhkova, M. V. (2022). Sanctions and international interaction improve cooperation to avert climate change.  Proceedings of the Royal Society B, 289(1972), 20212174. https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/full/10.1098/rspb.2021.2174

Hake, J.-F., Fischer, W., Venghaus, S., & Weckenbrock, C. (2015). The German Energiewende – History and status quo. Energy, 92, 532–546. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2015.04.027

Hale, T. (2020). Catalytic Cooperation. Global Environmental Politics, 20(4), 73–98. https://doi.org/10.1162/glep_a_00561

Heal, G., & Kunreuther, H. (2011). Tipping climate negotiations. National Bureau of Economic Research. Tipping Climate Negotiations | NBER

International Corporate Governance Network (ICGN) ICGN Statement of Shared Climate Change Responsibilities to the United Nations Climate Change Conference of the Parties 27. 5. ICGN Statement of Shared Climate Change ResponsibilitiesCOP27, November 2022

Keohane, R. O., & Victor, D. G. (2010). The regime complex for climate change, Discussion Paper 2010-33, Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard Project on International Climate Agreements, January 2010. Perspectives on Politics, 9(1), 7–23.https://doi.org/10.1017/S1537592710004068

Kim, D. (2013). International Nongovernmental Organizations and the Global Diffusion of National Human Rights Institutions. International Organization, 67(3), 505–539. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818313000131

Kneuer, M. (2012). Who is greener? Climate action and political regimes: trade-offs for national and international actors. Democratization, 19(5), 865–888. https://doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2012.709686

Köhler, J., Geels, F. W., Kern, F., Markard, J., Onsongo, E., Wieczorek, A., Alkemade, F., Avelino, F., Bergek, A., Boons, F., Fünfschilling, L., Hess, D., Holtz, G., Hyysalo, S., Jenkins, K., Kivimaa, P., Martiskainen, M., McMeekin, A., Mühlemeier, M. S., … Wells, P. (2019). An agenda for sustainability transitions research: State of the art and future directions. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, 31, 1–32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2019.01.004

Kramer, M. (2022). The Dissolution of the Soviet Union. Journal of Cold War Studies, 24(1), 188–218. https://doi.org/10.1162/jcws_a_01059

Kuran, T. (1989). Sparks and prairie fires: A theory of unanticipated political revolution. Public Choice, 61(1), 41–74. https://www.jstor.org/stable/30025019

Linsenmeier, M., Mohommad, A., & Schwerhoff, G. (2023). Global benefits of the international diffusion of carbon pricing policies. Nature Climate Change, 13(7), 679–684. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01710-8

Mazzucato, M. (2015). The Green Entrepreneurial State. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2744602

Mazzucato, M. (2014). The entrepreneurial state: debunking public vs. private sector myths (Rev. ed). Anthem Press.

Mazzucato, M. (2011). The entrepreneurial state. Soundings, 49(49), 131–142. https://doi.org/10.3898/136266211798411183

Mealy, P., Barbrook-Johnson, P., Ives, M., Srivastav, S., & Hepburn, C. (2023). Sensitive Intervention Points: A strategic approach to climate action. Oxford Review of Economic Policy. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/grad043

Meckling, J., & Karplus, V. J. (2023). Political strategies for climate and environmental solutions. Nature Sustainability, 6(7), 742–751. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-023-01109-5

Mildenberger, M., & Tingley, D. (2019). Beliefs about Climate Beliefs: The Importance of Second-Order Opinions for Climate Politics. British Journal of Political Science, 49(4), 1279–1307. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123417000321

Mitchell, R. B., & Carpenter, C. (2019). Norms for the Earth: Changing the Climate on “Climate Change”. Journal of Global Security Studies, 4(4), 413–429. https://doi.org/10.1093/jogss/ogz006

Newell, P. (2015). The Politics Of Green Transformations In Capitalism. In M. Leach, P. Newell, & I. Scoones, The Politics of Green Transformations (1st ed., pp. 68–85). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315747378-5

Newell, P., Daley, F., & Twena, M. (2021). Changing our ways? Behaviour change and the climate crisis The report of the Cambridge Sustainability Commission on Scaling Behaviour Change. https://rapidtransition.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Cambridge-Sustainability-Commission-on-Scaling-behaviour-change-report.pdf

Oldfield, J. R. (2013). Transatlantic Abolitionism in the Age of Revolution: An International History of Anti-slavery, c.1787–1820 (1st ed.). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139344272

Oliver, A. J., & Reeves, A. (2015). The politics of disaster relief. Emerging Trends in the Social and Behavioral Sciences: An Interdisciplinary, Searchable, and Linkable Resource, 1–8.https://andrewreeves.org/papers/disasters-review.pdf

Park, S. (2006). Theorizing Norm Diffusion Within International Organizations. International Politics, 43(3), 342–361. https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.ip.8800149

Robinson, D. (2022). Ecocide — Puzzles and Possibilities. Journal of International Criminal Justice, 20(2), 313–347. https://doi.org/10.1093/jicj/mqac021

Sharpe, S. (2023). Five Times Faster: Rethinking the Science, Economics, and Diplomacy of Climate Change (1st ed.). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009326506

Smith, S. R. (2022). Towards an understanding of advocacy coalitions for rapid transition to net zero carbon in the United Kingdom. https://doi.org/10.15126/THESIS.900563

Stadelmann-Steffen, I., Eder, C., Harring, N., Spilker, G., & Katsanidou, A. (2021). A framework for social tipping in climate change mitigation: What we can learn about social tipping dynamics from the chlorofluorocarbons phase-out. Energy Research & Social Science, 82, 102307. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2021.102307

Stop Ecocide Foundation. (2021). Stop Ecocide Foundation: Independent Expert Panel for the Legal Definition of Ecocide, Commentary and Core Text.  https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5ca2608ab914493c64ef1f6d/t/60d1e6e604fae2201d03407f/1624368879048/SE+Foundation+Commentary+and+core+text+rev+6.pdf

Stokes, L. C. (2016). Electoral Backlash against Climate Policy: A Natural Experiment on Retrospective Voting and Local Resistance to Public Policy. American Journal of Political Science, 60(4), 958–974. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12220

Thacker, S., Adshead, D., Fay, M., Hallegatte, S., Harvey, M., Meller, H., O’Regan, N., Rozenberg, J., Watkins, G., & Hall, J. W. (2019). Infrastructure for sustainable development. Nature Sustainability, 2(4), 324–331. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-019-0256-8

Ürge-Vorsatz, D., Rosenzweig, C., Dawson, R. J., Sanchez Rodriguez, R., Bai, X., Barau, A. S., Seto, K. C., & Dhakal, S. (2018). Locking in positive climate responses in cities. Nature Climate Change, 8(3), 174–177. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0100-6

Van Asselt, H., & Green, F. (2023). COP26 and the dynamics of anti‐fossil fuel norms. WIREs Climate Change, 14(3), e816. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.816

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Willis, R. (2020). Too hot to handle? The democratic challenge of climate change. Bristol University Press.

Wills, R. (2018). Building the political mandate for climate action. Green Alliance. https://green-alliance.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Building_a_political_mandate_for_climate_action.pdf

Yankelovich, D. (2006, May 1). The Tipping Points. Foreign Affairs, 85(3). https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/tipping-points

4.4.3 Financial systems

Ameli, N., Dessens, O., Winning, M., Cronin, J., Chenet, H., Drummond, P., Calzadilla, A., Anandarajah, G., & Grubb, M. (2021). Higher cost of finance exacerbates a climate investment trap in developing economies. Nature Communications, 12(1), 4046. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-24305-3

Arthur, W. B. (1989). Competing technologies, increasing returns, and lock-in by historical events. The Economic Journal, 99(394), 116–131.https://doi.org/10.2307/2234208

Bernanke, B. S., Gertler, M., & Gilchrist, S. (1999). The financial accelerator in a quantitative business cycle framework. Handbook of Macroeconomics, 1, 1341–1393. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1574-0048(99)10034-X

Campiglio, E., & Lamperti, F. (2021). Sustainable Finance Policy-Making: Why and How 16. European Economy, 2, 59–74. Sustainable Finance Policy-Making: Why and How – European Economy (european-economy.eu)

Campiglio, E., Lamperti, F., & Terranova, R. (2023). Believe me when I say green! Heterogeneous expectations and climate policy uncertainty. Heterogeneous Expectations and Climate Policy Uncertainty (February 2023). Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy Working Paper, 419. Believe me when I say green! Heterogeneous expectations and climate policy uncertainty – Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment (lse.ac.uk)

Chenet, H. (2023) Financial institutions in the face of the environmental emergency (July 31, 2023). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4619966

Chenet, H., Ryan-Collins, J., & Van Lerven, F. (2019). Climate-related financial policy in a world of radical uncertainty: Towards a precautionary approach. UCL Institute for Innovation and Public Purpose WP, 13. Climate-Related Financial Policy in a World of Radical Uncertainty: Towards a Precautionary Approach by Hugues Chenet, Josh Ryan-Collins, Frank van Lerven :: SSRN

Crona, B., Folke, C., & Galaz, V. (2021). The Anthropocene reality of financial risk. One Earth, 4(5), 618–628. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2021.04.016

Farmer, J. D., Hepburn, C., Ives, M. C., Hale, T., Wetzer, T., Mealy, P., Rafaty, R., Srivastav, S., & Way, R. (2019). Sensitive intervention points in the post-carbon transition. Science, 364(6436), 132–134. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw7287

FTM. (2023). ‘The Great Green Investment Investigation: Fossil Finance.’ https://www.ftm.eu/fossil-finance

Gatti, D. D., Gallegati, M., Greenwald, B., Russo, A., & Stiglitz, J. E. (2010). The financial accelerator in an evolving credit network. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 34(9), 1627–1650. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2010.06.019

International Energy Agency  (IEA) (2023) Net Zero Roadmap: A Global Pathway to Keep the 1.5 °C Goal in Reach. Available at: https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/d0ba63c5-9d93-4457-be03-da0f1405a5dd/NetZeroRoadmap_AGlobalPathwaytoKeepthe1.5CGoalinReach-2023Update.pdf

Lamperti, F., Bosetti, V., Roventini, A., Tavoni, M., & Treibich, T. (2021). Three green financial policies to address climate risks. Journal of Financial Stability, 54, 100875. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2021.100875

Lamperti, F., Dosi, G., Napoletano, M., Roventini, A., and Sapio, A. (2020). Climate change and green transitions in an agent-based integrated assessment model. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 153, 119806. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119806

Lamperti, L., Roventini, A, (2022). Beyond climate economics orthodoxy: impacts and policies in the agent-based integrated-assessment DSK model.  European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, 3. https://doi.org/10.4337/ejeep.2022.0096

Le Ravalec, M., Rambaud, A., & Blum, V. (2022). Taking climate change seriously: Time to credibly communicate on corporate climate performance. Ecological Economics, 200, 107542. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2022.107542

Mazzucato, M. (2013). The entrepreneurial state: Debunking public vs. Private Sector Myths, 1.  Anthem Press

Mazzucato, M., & Semieniuk, G. (2018). Financing renewable energy: Who is financing what and why it matters. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 127, 8–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2017.05.021

Rambaud, A., & Chenet, H. (2021). How to re-conceptualise and re-integrate climate-related 

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Rickman, J., Falkenberg, M., Kothari, S., Larosa, F., Grubb, M., & Ameli, N. (2023b). The systemic challenge of phasing out fossil fuel finance [Preprint]. In Review. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-3121305/v1

Rickman, J., Kothari, S., Larosa, F., & Ameli, N. (2023a). Investment suitability and path dependency perpetuate inequity in international mitigation finance toward developing countries. One Earth, 6(10), 1304–1314. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.09.006

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Perez, C. (2003). Technological revolutions and financial capital. Edward Elgar Publishing.

Schmidt, T. S. (2014). Low-carbon investment risks and de-risking. Nature Climate Change, 4(4), 237–239. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2112

Stern, N., & Stiglitz, J. E. (2023). Climate change and growth. Industrial and Corporate Change, 32(2), 277–303. https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtad008

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4.4.4 Digitalisation

AECOM (2011). Energy Demand Research Project: Final Analysis. St Albans, UK, AECOM Ltd. https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/sites/default/files/docs/2011/06/energy-demand-research-project-final-analysis_0.pdf

Azarova, V., Cohen, J. J., Kollmann, A., & Reichl, J. (2020). Reducing household electricity consumption during evening peak demand times: Evidence from a field experiment. Energy Policy, 144, 111657. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111657

Baidya, S., Potdar, V., Pratim Ray, P., & Nandi, C. (2021). Reviewing the opportunities, challenges, and future directions for the digitalization of energy. Energy Research & Social Science, 81, 102243. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2021.102243

Bauer, P., Stevens, B., & Hazeleger, W. (2021). A digital twin of Earth for the green transition. Nature Climate Change, 11(2), 80–83. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-00986-y

Behavioural Insights TeamBIT (BIT). 2017. Evaluating the Nest Learning Thermostat. London, UK, Behavioural Insights Team (BIT). https://www.bi.team/publications/evaluating-the-nest-learning-thermostat/

Blanco, G., H. de Coninck, L. Agbemabiese, E. H. Mbaye Diagne, L. Diaz Anadon, Y. S. Lim, W.A. Pengue, A.D. Sagar, T. Sugiyama, K. Tanaka, E. Verdolini, J. Witajewski-Baltvilks, (2022). Innovation, technology development and transfer. In IPCC, 2022: Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, R. Slade, A. Al Khourdajie, R. van Diemen, D. McCollum, M. Pathak, S. Some, P. Vyas, R. Fradera, M. Belkacemi, A. Hasija, G. Lisboa, S. Luz, J. Malley, (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA. doi: 10.1017/9781009157926.018

Bohman, H., Ryan, J., Stjernborg, V., & Nilsson, D. (2021). A study of changes in everyday mobility during the Covid-19 pandemic: As perceived by people living in Malmö, Sweden. Transport Policy, 106, 109–119. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2021.03.013

Ceccato, R., Baldassa, A., Rossi, R., & Gastaldi, M. (2022). Potential long-term effects of Covid-19 on telecommuting and environment: An Italian case-study. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 109, 103401. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2022.103401

Creutzig, F., Acemoglu, D., Bai, X., Edwards, P. N., Hintz, M. J., Kaack, L. H., Kilkis, S., Kunkel, S., Luers, A., Milojevic-Dupont, N., Rejeski, D., Renn, J., Rolnick, D., Rosol, C., Russ, D., Turnbull, T., Verdolini, E., Wagner, F., Wilson, C., … Zumwald, M. (2022). Digitalization and the Anthropocene. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 47(1), 479–509. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-120920-100056

Creutzig, F., Franzen, M., Moeckel, R., Heinrichs, D., Nagel, K., Nieland, S., & Weisz, H. (2019). Leveraging digitalization for sustainability in urban transport. Global Sustainability, 2, e14. https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2019.11

Creutzig, F., Niamir, L., Bai, X., Callaghan, M., Cullen, J., Díaz-José, J., Figueroa, M., Grubler, A., Lamb, W. F., Leip, A., Masanet, E., Mata, É., Mattauch, L., Minx, J. C., Mirasgedis, S., Mulugetta, Y., Nugroho, S. B., Pathak, M., Perkins, P., … Ürge-Vorsatz, D. (2022). Demand-side solutions to climate change mitigation consistent with high levels of well-being. Nature Climate Change, 12(1), 36–46. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01219-y

Debnath, R., Creutzig, F., Sovacool, B. K., & Shuckburgh, E. (2023). Harnessing human and machine intelligence for planetary-level climate action. Npj Climate Action, 2(1), 20. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-023-00056-3

Digitalization for Sustainability (D4S). (2022). Digital Reset. Redirecting Technologies for the Deep Sustainability Transformation. S. Lange and T. Santarius. Berlin, Germany, TU Berlin. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.14279/depositonce-16187

Elldér, E. (2020). Telework and daily travel: New evidence from Sweden. Journal of Transport Geography, 86, 102777. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2020.102777

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European Parliament (2021). The impact of teleworking and digital work on workers and society. STUDY Requested by the EMPL committee and produced by the Policy Department for Economic, Scientific and Quality of Life Policies Directorate-General for Internal Policies. https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2021/662904/IPOL_STU(2021)662904_EN.pdf

Freitag, C., Berners-Lee, M., Widdicks, K., Knowles, B., Blair, G. S., & Friday, A. (2021). The real climate and transformative impact of ICT: A critique of estimates, trends, and regulations. Patterns, 2(9), 100340. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.patter.2021.100340

Galaz, V., H. Metzler, S. Daume, A. Olsson, B. Lindström, A. Marklund (2023). Climate misinformation in a climate of misinformation. Research brief. Stockholm Resilience Centre (Stockholm University) and the Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics (Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences). http://arxiv.org/abs/2306.1280

Giotitsas, C., Nardelli, P. H. J., Williamson, S., Roos, A., Pournaras, E., & Kostakis, V. (2022). Energy governance as a commons: Engineering alternative socio-technical configurations. Energy Research & Social Science, 84, 102354. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2021.102354

Global Enabling Sustainability Initiative (GESI) (2022). Digital with Purpose: Delivering a SMARTer2030. Brussels, Belgium, Global Enabling Sustainability Initiative https://gesi.org/research/gesi-digital-with-purpose-full-report

Grubler, A., Wilson, C., Bento, N., Boza-Kiss, B., Krey, V., McCollum, D. L., Rao, N. D., Riahi, K., Rogelj, J., De Stercke, S., Cullen, J., Frank, S., Fricko, O., Guo, F., Gidden, M., Havlík, P., Huppmann, D., Kiesewetter, G., Rafaj, P., … Valin, H. (2018). A low energy demand scenario for meeting the 1.5 °C target and sustainable development goals without negative emission technologies. Nature Energy, 3(6), 515–527. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-018-0172-6

Hargreaves, T., & Wilson, C. (2017). Smart Homes and Their Users. Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-68018-7

Heinfellner, H., Lambert, S., Vogel, J., & Praschl, M. (2020). Potentiale virtueller Mobilität – Rahmen und Maßnahmen für eine bestmögliche Verknüpfung virtueller und physischer Mobilität. https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.35590.29760

Heimans, J., Timms, H. (2018). New Power: How Power Works in Our Hyperconnected World–and How to Make It Work for You. Random House Audio Assets.

Hook, A., Court, V., Sovacool, B. K., & Sorrell, S. (2020). A systematic review of the energy and climate impacts of teleworking. Environmental Research Letters, 15(9), 093003. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab8a84

Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change (IPCC). (2022) Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, R. Slade, A. Al Khourdajie, R. van Diemen, D. McCollum, M. Pathak, S. Some, P. Vyas, R. Fradera, M. Belkacemi, A. Hasija, G. Lisboa, S. Luz, J. Malley, (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA. doi: 10.1017/9781009157926

International Energy Agency (IEA). (2017). Digitalization and Enegy.https://www.iea.org/reports/digitalisation-and-energy

Jensen, T., Holtz, G., Baedeker, C., & Chappin, É. J. L. (2016). Energy-efficiency impacts of an air-quality feedback device in residential buildings: An agent-based modeling assessment. Energy and Buildings, 116, 151–163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2015.11.067

Kamargianni, M., Li, W., Matyas, M., & Schäfer, A. (2016). A Critical Review of New Mobility Services for Urban Transport. Transportation Research Procedia, 14, 3294–3303. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trpro.2016.05.277

Kangas, H. L., Ollikka, K., Ahola, J., & Kim, Y. (2021). Digitalisation in wind and solar power technologies. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 150, 111356. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2021.111356

Khanna, T. M., Baiocchi, G., Callaghan, M., Creutzig, F., Guias, H., Haddaway, N. R., Hirth, L., Javaid, A., Koch, N., Laukemper, S., Löschel, A., Zamora Dominguez, M. D. M., & Minx, J. C. (2021). A multi-country meta-analysis on the role of behavioural change in reducing energy consumption and CO2 emissions in residential buildings. Nature Energy, 6(9), 925–932. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-021-00866-x

Lenton, T. M., Benson, S., Smith, T., Ewer, T., Lanel, V., Petykowski, E., Powell, T. W. R., Abrams, J. F., Blomsma, F., & Sharpe, S. (2022). Operationalising positive tipping points towards global sustainability. Global Sustainability, 5, e1. https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2021.30

Li, X., Zhang, C., & Zhu, H. (2023). Effect of information and communication technology on CO2 emissions: An analysis based on country heterogeneity perspective. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 192, 122599. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2023.122599

Maier, R., Thaller, A., & Fleiß, E. (2022). Telework: A Social Tipping Intervention for Passenger Transportation? SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4226849

Malmodin, J., & Coroama, V. (2016). Assessing ICT’s enabling effect through case study extrapolation — The example of smart metering. 2016 Electronics Goes Green 2016+ (EGG), 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1109/EGG.2016.7829814

Milojevic-Dupont, N., & Creutzig, F. (2021). Machine learning for geographically differentiated climate change mitigation in urban areas. Sustainable Cities and Society, 64, 102526. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2020.102526

Nakicenovic, N., Riahi, K., Boza-Kiss, B., Busch, S., Fujimori, S., Goujon, A., Grubler, A., Hasegawa, T., Kolp, P., McCollum, D. L., Muttarak, R., Obersteiner, M., Pachauri, S., Parkinson, S., & Zimm, C. (2018). Transformations to Achieve the Sustainable Development Goals. Report prepared by The World in 2050 initiative. https://doi.org/10.22022/TNT/07-2018.15347

Nature (2020). Online learning cannot just be for those who can afford its technology. Nature, 585(7826), 482–482. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-02709-3

Nilsson, A., Wester, M., Lazarevic, D., & Brandt, N. (2018). Smart homes, home energy management systems and real-time feedback: Lessons for influencing household energy consumption from a Swedish field study. Energy and Buildings, 179, 15–25. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2018.08.026

Nisbett, N., & Spaiser, V. (2023). How convincing are AI-generated moral arguments for climate action? Frontiers in Climate, 5, 1193350. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2023.1193350

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).,International Transport Forum (ITF). (2020). Road Safety Annual Report 2020. Paris, France. https://www.itf-oecd.org/sites/default/files/docs/irtad-road-safety-annual-report-2020_0.pdf

Pratt, B. W., & Erickson, J. D. (2020). Defeat the Peak: Behavioral insights for electricity demand response program design. Energy Research & Social Science, 61, 101352. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2019.101352

Royal Society. (2020). Digital technology and the planet: Harnessing computing to achieve net zero. London, UK, The Royal Society. https://royalsociety.org/-/media/policy/projects/digital-technology-and-the-planet/digital-technology-and-the-planet-report.pdf

Satorras, M., Ruiz-Mallén, I., Monterde, A., & March, H. (2020). Co-production of urban climate planning: Insights from the Barcelona Climate Plan. Cities, 106, 102887. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2020.102887

Srivastava, A., Van Passel, S., & Laes, E. (2018). Assessing the success of electricity demand response programs: A meta-analysis. Energy Research & Social Science, 40, 110–117. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2017.12.005

Suatmadi, A. Y., Creutzig, F., & Otto, I. M. (2019). On-demand motorcycle taxis improve mobility, not sustainability. Case Studies on Transport Policy, 7(2), 218–229. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cstp.2019.04.005

Verdolini, E. (2023). Interlinkages between the just ecological transition and the digital transformation. In ETUI, The European Trade Union Institute. Retrieved 10:06, July 12, 2023, from https://www.etui.org/publications/interlinkages-between-just-ecological-transition-and-digital-transformation

Verma, P., Savickas, R., Strüker, J., Buettner, S., Kjeldsen, O., and Wang, X. (2020). Digitalization: enabling the new phase of energy efficiency. DOI: https://orbit.dtu.dk/en/publications/digitalization-enabling-the-new-phase-of-energy-efficiency

Wellings, T. S., Majumdar, S., Haenggli Fricker, R., & Pournaras, E. (2023). Improving City Life via Legitimate and Participatory Policy-making: A Data-driven Approach in Switzerland. Proceedings of the 24th Annual International Conference on Digital Government Research, 23–35. https://doi.org/10.1145/3598469.3598472

Wemyss, D., Cellina, F., Grieder, M., & Schlüter, F. (2023). Looking beyond the hype: Conditions affecting the promise of behaviour change apps as social innovations for low-carbon transitions. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, 47, 100702. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2023.100702

Wilson, C., Kerr, L., Sprei, F., Vrain, E., & Wilson, M. (2020). Potential Climate Benefits of Digital Consumer Innovations. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 45(1), 113–144. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-012320-082424

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Xia, H., Liu, Z., Efremochkina, M., Liu, X., & Lin, C. (2022). Study on city digital twin technologies for sustainable smart city design: A review and bibliometric analysis of geographic information system and building information modeling integration. Sustainable Cities and Society, 84, 104009. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2022.104009

Xu, Q., Zhong, M., & Li, X. (2022). How does digitalization affect energy? International evidence. Energy Economics, 107, 105879. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2022.105879

Yang, H., Zhou, M., Wu, Z., Zhang, M., Liu, S., Guo, Z., & Du, E. (2022). Exploiting the operational flexibility of a concentrated solar power plant with hydrogen production. Solar Energy, 247, 158–170. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2022.10.011

4.4.5. Detecting ‘early opportunity indicators’ for positive tipping points

Boulton, C. A., Buxton, J. E., & Lenton, T. M. (2023). Early opportunity signals of a tipping point in the UK’s second-hand electric vehicle market [Preprint]. Antroposphere/Human/Earth system interactions/Other methods. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2234

Dakos, V., Boulton, C. A., Buxton, J. E., Abrams, J. F., Armstrong McKay, D. I., Bathiany, S., Blaschke, L., Boers, N., Dylewsky, D., López-Martínez, C., Parry, I., Ritchie, P., Van Der Bolt, B., Van Der Laan, L., Weinans, E., & Kéfi, S. (2023). Tipping Point Detection and Early-Warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems [Preprint]. Biosphere and ecosystems/Human/Earth system interactions/Other methods. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1773

Diks, C., Hommes, C., & Wang, J. (2019). Critical slowing down as an early warning signal for financial crises? Empirical Economics, 57(4), 1201–1228. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-018-1527-3

Farmer, J. D., & Lafond, F. (2016). How predictable is technological progress? Research Policy, 45(3), 647–665. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2015.11.001

Haugh, D., Mourougane, A. and Chatal, O. (2010). ‘ The Automobile Inducstry in and Beyond the Crisis.’ OECD –https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/economics/the-automobile-industry-in-and-beyond-the-crisis_5kmmp8wg6cmq-en

Lam, A., & Mercure, J.-F. (2022). Evidence for a global electric vehicle tipping point.https://www.exeter.ac.uk/media/universityofexeter/globalsystemsinstitute/documents/Lam_et_al_Evidence_for_a_global_EV_TP.pdf

Lu, Z., Yuan, N., Yang, Q., Ma, Z., & Kurths, J. (2021). Early Warning of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation Phase Transition Using Complex Network Analysis. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(7), e2020GL091674. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091674

Meldrum, M., Pinnell, L., Brennan, K., Romani, M., Sharpe, S., & Lenton, T. (2023). The Breakthrough Effect: How to trigger a cascade of tipping points to accelerate the net zero transition.https://www.systemiq.earth/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/The-Breakthrough-Effect.pdf

Pananos, A. D., Bury, T. M., Wang, C., Schonfeld, J., Mohanty, S. P., Nyhan, B., Salathé, M., & Bauch, C. T. (2017). Critical dynamics in population vaccinating behavior. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 114(52), 13762–13767. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1704093114

Proverbio, D., Kemp, F., Magni, S., & Gonçalves, J. (2022). Performance of early warning signals for disease re-emergence: A case study on COVID-19 data. PLOS Computational Biology, 18(3), e1009958. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009958

Sharpe, S., & Lenton, T. M. (2021). Upward-scaling tipping cascades to meet climate goals: plausible grounds for hope. Climate Policy, 21(4), 421–433. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2020.1870097

Tan, J. P. L., & Cheong, S. S. A. (2014). Critical slowing down associated with regime shifts in the US housing market. The European Physical Journal B, 87(2), 38. https://doi.org/10.1140/epjb/e2014-41038-1

Wen, H., Ciamarra, M. P., & Cheong, S. A. (2018). How one might miss early warning signals of critical transitions in time series data: A systematic study of two major currency pairs. PLOS ONE, 13(3), e0191439. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0191439

Wissel, C. (1984). A universal law of the characteristic return time near thresholds. Oecologia, 65(1), 101–107. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00384470

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